Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 25

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Ulenurme stadium (Ulenurme)


	Tartu Kalev		Maardu Linnameeskond

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.6	1.52
	4.35	4.65	1.5
	4.13	4.79	1.52
	3.91	4.57	1.62	Watch
	4.58	4.6	1.51
	3.55	4	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (4.1)	4.54 ↓ (4.98)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tartu Kalev
21.6%

Draw
19.6%

Maardu Linnameeskond
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

18.3%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

17.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tartu Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Maardu Linnameeskond has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maardu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Tartu Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maardu Linnameeskond will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Peramets K. (G) 5. Laas K. 3. Toomsalu A. 23. Ruul A. 19. Troon K. 21. Kohv K. 77. Tenno S. (C) 17. Raud G. H. 11. Juhanson R. 8. Mihhalevski R. 28. Lehter D.	98. Jakovlev A. (G) 23. Tserezov M. 12. Volkov A. 27. Tjapkin D. 19. Kulinits A. (C) 8. Taar A. 5. Volossatov A. 13. Lebedev D. 26. Drabinko D. 77. Tsombaljuk S. 33. Volkov A.
Substitutes
30. Alajoe M. 6. Bazjukin N. 13. Daum M. (G) 52. Karpenkov V. 27. Neltsas R. 80. Samulin R. 99. Varusk A.	15. Grigorjev A. 24. Kapustin A. 71. Kovaltsuk A. 21. Naydis N. 35. Pjatajev D. (G) 9. Utgof E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Volkov A. ⚽,
31', 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Drabinko D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 🟨,
81', 0 - 3, Kapustin A. ⚽,

Preview

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

In this match, Maardu Linnameeskond is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tartu Kalev won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Tartu Kalev won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga B
17.08.25	Kuressaare U21 - Tartu Kalev	0:4 ✺
09.08.25	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Tartu Kalev	0:1 ✺
26.07.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tartu Kalev	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Tartu Kalev - Paide U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWWW
- Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga B
17.08.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Paide U21	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:3 ✺
02.08.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Kuressaare U21	6:2 ✺
27.07.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Narva Trans U21	11:1 ✺
19.07.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
14.06.25	Tartu Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:1
26.04.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tartu Kalev	6:1

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