Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 4

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Júbilo Iwata		Fukushima United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.35	4.75	6.3	Watch
	1.43	5.05	5.98
	1.38	5.27	6.4	Watch
	1.33	4.75	6
	1.44	5.08	5.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	4.98 ↓ (5.04)	6.06 ↑ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
66.4%

Draw
18.5%

Fukushima United
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

18.4%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Júbilo Iwata - Fukushima United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Iwata (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawashima E. (G) 50. Uemura H. 30. Yamazaki K. 3. Morioka R. 4. Matsubara K. 33. Kawai T. 18. Inoue S. 6. Kaneko D. 39. Sumi K. 9. Watanabe R. 27. Sato R.	1. Ueda T. (G) 27. Nozue S. 5. Toma H. 29. Tsuchiya K. 23. Anzai T. 10. Harigaya T. 14. Nakamura T. 6. Uehata U. 7. Ashibe K. 40. Higuchi H. 8. Okada Y.
Substitutes
13. Abe K. (G) 14. Arjvirai P. 77. Fujiwara K. 16. Gustavo Silva 2. Kawasaki I. 66. Masuda S. 11. Matheus Peixoto 22. Ueebisu K. 36. Yoshimura R.	31. Anzai S. (G) 32. Einaga T. 24. Hono T. 18. Ishii R. 20. Izumi S. 30. Kano K. 11. Miura K. 9. Shimizu K. 26. Tanaka K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Inoue S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Sato R. ↓, Gustavo Silva ↑,
63', Kawai T. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
66', Okada Y. ↓, Shimizu K. ↑,
66', Nakamura T. ↓, Kano K. ↑,
76', Inoue S. ↓, Fujiwara K. ↑,
76', Watanabe R. ↓, Matheus Peixoto ↑,
79', Anzai T. 🟨,
80', Anzai T. ↓, Hono T. ↑,
80', Uehata U. ↓, Izumi S. ↑,
83', Morioka R. ↓, Ueebisu K. ↑,
90', Ashibe K. ↓, Einaga T. ↑,
90+2', Matsubara K. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Matheus Peixoto (Penalty Awarded),
1, Higuchi H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Fujiwara K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Harigaya T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kaneko D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Izumi S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Matsubara K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kano K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Kawasaki I. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

In this match, Iwata is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 J3 League
21.02.26	Júbilo Iwata - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Gifu - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Júbilo Iwata - Nagano Parceiro	0:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
06.12.25	Tokushima Vortis - Júbilo Iwata	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sagan Tosu - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTTW
- Fukushima United
Japan J2 J3 League
21.02.26	Omiya Ardija - Fukushima United	6:0 ✺
14.02.26	Iwaki - Fukushima United	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Ventforet Kofu - Fukushima United	4:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
29.11.25	Fukushima United - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Fukushima United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLWW

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