The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fukushima United 26.6%
Draw 26.1%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 47.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
27.2%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
26.2%
42.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fukushima United's form might have worsened.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tegevajaro Miyazaki's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Fukushima United - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ueda T. (G) 28. Suzu N. 17. Fujitani T. 2. Yamada M. 3. Matsunagane Y. 7. Harigaya T. 20. Jojo K. 30. Kano K. 11. Ashibe K. 40. Higuchi H. 10. Mori K.
31. Okamoto M. (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 28. Manabe H. 39. Shimokawa Y. 20. Ano M. 50. Yasuda K. 34. Kawai T. 47. Okumura K. 11. Hashimoto K. 18. Yoshizawa S.
Substitutes
23. Anzai T. 38. Awano K. 13. Miyazaki T. 27. Nozue S. 6. Uehata U. 18. Yajima K. 22. Yoshimaru K. (G) 8. Yoshinaga H. 37. Yui K.
40. Ando R. 35. Egawa G. 10. Inoue R. 32. Lee Chung-won (G) 42. Matsumoto K. 6. Okuma K. 41. Sakai S. 58. Take H. 45. Tanaka S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Mori K. ⚽, Ashibe K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kawai T. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Ano M. ⚽,
53', Kano K. 🟨,
60', Yasuda K. 🟨,
66', Yoshizawa S. ↓, Take H. ↑,
69', Ashibe K. ↓, Uehata U. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Higuchi H. ⚽, Mori K. (A),
84', Ano M. ↓, Sakai S. ↑,
89', Yasuda K. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
90+2', Kano K. ↓, Yajima K. ↑,
90+2', Jojo K. ↓, Yoshinaga H. ↑,
90+4', Okumura K. 🟨,
90+5', Harigaya T. ↓, Miyazaki T. ↑,
90+5', Mori K. ↓, Yui K. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Tegevajaro Miyazaki is Qualified for J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 3.
Fukushima United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tegevajaro Miyazaki is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Tegevajaro Miyazaki could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Fukushima United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Fukushima United - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.08%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Ueda T. (G) 
Lee Chung-won (G) 
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