Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 22

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Júbilo Iwata		Kawasaki Frontale

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2.1
	3.07	3.46	2.13	Watch
	3.3	3.64	2.23
	3.21	3.6	2.17	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.05
	3.26	3.65	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.55	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.35)	3.55 ↓ (3.63)	2.13 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
29.3%

Draw
26.5%

Kawasaki Frontale
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

25.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

25.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Júbilo Iwata - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawashima E. (G) 50. Uemura H. 15. Suzuki K. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 14. Matsumoto M. 16. Leo Gomes 7. Uehara R. 40. Kaneko S. 11. Germain R. 99. Matheus Peixoto	1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 31. Wermeskerken S. V. 3. Ominami T. 2. Takai K. 5. Sasaki A. 10. Oshima R. 16. Seko T. 17. Tono D. 14. Wakizaka Y. 23. Marcinho 11. Kobayashi Y.
Substitutes
19. Bruno Jose 31. Furukawa Y. 37. Hirakawa R. 6. Ito M. 26. Nishikubo S. 24. Sugimoto M. (G) 10. Yamada H.	26. Hinata Y. 41. Ienaga A. 99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 8. Tachibanada K. 15. Tanabe S. 20. Yamada S. 77. Yamamoto Y.
Coaches
Yokouchi A.	Oniki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Germain R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Oshima R. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Tono D. ⚽, Kobayashi Y. (A),
54', Kawashima E. ↓, Sugimoto M. ↑,
62', Matsumoto M. ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
62', Kaneko S. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
68', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
68', Marcinho ↓, Hinata Y. ↑,
75', Tono D. ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Tachibanada K. ⚽,
82', Seko T. ↓, Yamamoto Y. ↑,
83', Suzuki K. 🟨,
86', Uehara R. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Yamada H. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 16 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Kawasaki will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Iwata won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J1 League
30.06.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Júbilo Iwata	3:0 ✺
26.06.24	Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo Verdy	3:0 ✺
22.06.24	Júbilo Iwata - Cerezo Osaka	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	Tokyo - Júbilo Iwata	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Júbilo Iwata - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTTL
- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
29.06.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1 ✺
26.06.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	Vissel Kobe - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Sony Sendai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
01.03.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Júbilo Iwata	4:5
25.06.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Júbilo Iwata	1:1
06.04.22	Júbilo Iwata - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1
14.09.19	Kawasaki Frontale - Júbilo Iwata	2:0
30.06.19	Júbilo Iwata - Kawasaki Frontale	1:3
01.12.18	Kawasaki Frontale - Júbilo Iwata	2:1
25.02.18	Júbilo Iwata - Kawasaki Frontale	0:3

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