Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 18

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Japan	DAZN Japan
World	YouTube


	Tokyo		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.9	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.5
	1.93	3.46	3.7	Watch
	2	3.69	3.85
	2	3.69	3.81
	1.91	3.5	3.5
	1.98	3.69	3.71	Watch
	1.97	3.3	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.08)	3.52 ↑ (3.39)	3.73 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo
47.9%

Draw
26.8%

Júbilo Iwata
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.7%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Tokyo - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Iwata will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Nozawa T. (G) 2. Nakamura H. 3. Morishige M. 44. Henrique Trevisan 5. Nagatomo Y. 8. Ko T. 37. Koizumi K. 39. Nakagawa T. 38. Anzai S. 9. Diego Oliveira 33. Tawaratsumida K.	1. Kawashima E. (G) 50. Uemura H. 15. Suzuki K. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 16. Leo Gomes 7. Uehara R. 14. Matsumoto M. 10. Yamada H. 37. Hirakawa R. 99. Matheus Peixoto
Substitutes
71. Araki R. 40. Harakawa R. 70. Jaja 1. Kodama T. (G) 7. Matsuki K. 30. Oka T. 43. Tokumoto S.	19. Bruno Jose 11. Germain R. 40. Kaneko S. 3. Morioka R. 25. Nakamura S. 26. Nishikubo S. 20. Tsuboi Y. (G)
Coaches
Cklamovski P.	Yokouchi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Henrique Trevisan 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Ricardo Graca ⚽, Hirakawa R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Nakagawa T. ↓, Araki R. ↑,
56', Diego Oliveira ↓, Matsuki K. ↑,
60', Matsumoto M. ↓, Kaneko S. ↑,
60', Yamada H. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
67', Koizumi K. ↓, Harakawa R. ↑,
74', Morishige M. 🟨,
78', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Jaja ↑,
78', Nagatomo Y. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Anzai S. ⚽, Tokumoto S. (A),
88', Matsubara K. 🟨,
90+3', Uehara R. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
90+3', Hirakawa R. ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
90+10', Uemura H. ↓, Nishikubo S. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokyo won 2.

Recent matches Tokyo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Iwata is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Iwata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tokyo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Tokyo won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokyo won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tokyo
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Tokyo - Veertien Mie	3:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.06.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo	3:1 ✺
05.06.24	Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
31.05.24	Sagan Tosu - Tokyo	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Tokyo - Gamba Osaka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWL
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Júbilo Iwata - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
01.06.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Júbilo Iwata	2:0 ✺
25.05.24	Júbilo Iwata - Shonan Bellmare	3:2 ✺
19.05.24	Júbilo Iwata - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1 ✺
15.05.24	Consadole Sapporo - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
17.07.22	Tokyo - Júbilo Iwata	2:0
14.05.22	Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo	2:1
Japan J League Cup
23.04.22	Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo	2:1
15.03.22	Tokyo - Júbilo Iwata	0:0
Japan J1 League
09.11.19	Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo	0:1
12.05.19	Tokyo - Júbilo Iwata	1:0
10.11.18	Tokyo - Júbilo Iwata	0:0

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