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Current Win Probability
Kawasaki Frontale 52.2%
Draw 26%
Shonan Bellmare 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
25.5%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
25.1%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.6%
13%
4.3%
Kawasaki Frontale - Shonan Bellmare Predictions
Users Predictions:
Kawasaki Frontale will win
(19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 5. Sasaki A. 2. Takai K. 35. Maruyama Y. 13. Miura S. 19. Kawahara S. 8. Tachibanada K. 17. Ito T. 14. Wakizaka Y. 23. Marcinho 20. Yamada S.
99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 4. Tachi K. 47. Kim Min-Tae 5. Suzuki J. 37. Suzuki Y. 15. Okuno K. 32. Matsumura S. 7. Onose K. 18. Ikeda M. 10. Suzuki A. 19. Fukuda S.
Substitutes
9. Erison 41. Ienaga A. 4. Jesiel 1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 24. Miyagi T. 16. Ozeki Y. 18. Segawa Y. 31. van Wermeskerken S. 6. Yamamoto Y.
14. Barada A. 50. Fujii T. 3. Hata T. 77. Ishii H. 27. Luiz Phellype 9. Oda Y. 22. Oiwa K. 25. Okuno H. 31. Sanada K. (G)
Coaches
Hasebe S.
Yamaguchi S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Miura S. 🟨,
29', Tachi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Wakizaka Y. ⚽,
62', Suzuki Y. ↓, Fujii T. ↑,
62', Matsumura S. ↓, Hata T. ↑,
62', Yamada S. ↓, Erison ↑,
62', Takai K. ↓, Jesiel ↑,
65', Suzuki A. 🟨,
74', Ito T. ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
74', Suzuki A. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
75', Ikeda M. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
82', Wakizaka Y. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
83', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Miyagi T. (Pen),
90+3', Tachi K. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Kawasaki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Shonan Bellmare have a series of guest games.
Kawasaki will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Kawasaki: Kobayashi Y.
(Shoulder Injury)
Kurumaya S.
(Muscle Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Hiraoka T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ishibashi S.
(Ankle Injury)
Matsumoto K.
(Knee Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 10 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 36:24 (average 1.8:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Kawasaki won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.7:1.4).
China
Japan
Watch
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Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 
Marcinho 
Kim Min-Tae 
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