The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albirex Niigata 25.1%
Draw 26%
Kawasaki Frontale 48.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.8%
22.8%
54.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
18.9%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kawasaki Frontale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.3%
13.3%
73.3%
Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 50.9% – 95.7%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kawasaki Frontale will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Tashiro R. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 5. Fitzgerald M. 77. Funaki K. 42. Hashimoto K. 55. Moraes 8. Shirai E. 50. Uemura H. 14. Ohara M. 65. Boudah A. 41. Hasegawa M.
98. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 5. Sasaki A. 4. Jesiel 35. Maruyama Y. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 6. Yamamoto Y. 17. Ito T. 14. Wakizaka Y. 23. Marcinho 9. Erison
Substitutes
22. Arai T. 15. Hayakawa F. 31. Horigome Y. 30. Okumura J. 28. Shimamura T. 33. Takagi Y. 7. Taniguchi K. 9. Yamura K. 23. Yoshimitsu D. (G)
21. Ando S. (G) 41. Ienaga A. 1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 27. Kamihashi R. 38. Kanda S. 19. Kawahara S. 30. Noda H. 16. Ozeki Y. 39. Tsuchiya K.
Coaches
Irie T.
Hasebe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Shirai E. ⚽, Moraes (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Ito T. ⚽,
45+4', Marcinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Tashiro R. 🟨,
57', Moraes ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
63', Marcinho ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
71', Uemura H. ↓, Arai T. ↑,
72', Ohara M. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
77', Tachibanada K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
83', Hasegawa M. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
85', Yamamoto Y. 🟨,
87', Ito T. ↓, Noda H. ↑,
87', Erison ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
90+4', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3.
Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Kawasaki is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Kawasaki is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S.
(Calf Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
Oshima R.
(Calf Injury)
Uremovic F.
(Red Card)
van Wermeskerken S.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Kawasaki: Erison
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).