Match Info

J2 League - Round 37

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Júbilo Iwata		Montedio Yamagata

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.95	Watch
	2.22	3.25	3	Watch
	2	3.65	3.69
	1.96	3.65	3.48	Watch
	2.2	3.15	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.96)	3.42 ↓ (3.65)	3.23 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
44%

Draw
27.2%

Montedio Yamagata
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

25.6%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

24.8%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Júbilo Iwata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Júbilo Iwata - Montedio Yamagata Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Iwata (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawashima E. (G) 5. Ezaki T. 36. Ricardo Graca 52. Van den Bergh J. 71. Masui K. 25. Nakamura S. 4. Matsubara K. 7. Uehara R. 6. Kaneko D. 79. Browne N. 9. Watanabe R.	45. Shibuya T. (G) 19. Okamoto K. 4. Nishimura K. 22. Shirowa H. 13. Nodake H. 17. Terayama T. 18. Minami S. 88. Doi S. 10. Kida R. 90. Disaro A. S. 25. Kokubu S.
Substitutes
18. Inoue S. 33. Kawai T. 2. Kawasaki I. 11. Matheus Peixoto 21. Miura R. (G) 3. Morioka R. 20. Sato R. 39. Sumi K. 8. Tameda H.	27. Enomoto K. 1. Heward-Belle T. (G) 15. Kawai A. 3. Kumamoto Y. 99. Mikeltadze B. 49. Sakamoto K. 14. Sakamoto K. 9. Takahashi J. 20. Yoshio Kaina
Coaches
Amma T.	Yokouchi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Doi S. ⚽, Shirowa H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Browne N. ↓, Matheus Peixoto ↑,
53', Minami S. 🟨,
62', Minami S. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
66', Uehara R. ↓, Sumi K. ↑,
66', Nakamura S. ↓, Inoue S. ↑,
67', Masui K. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Matheus Peixoto ⚽, Kawasaki I. (A),
78', Kokubu S. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
78', Disaro A. S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
82', Watanabe R. ↓, Kawai T. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Takahashi J. ⚽, Okamoto K. (A),
84', Kida R. ↓, Yoshio Kaina ↑,
85', Doi S. ↓, Mikeltadze B. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Van den Bergh J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Iwata will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Iwata won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
09.11.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Júbilo Iwata - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Ehime - Júbilo Iwata	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Júbilo Iwata - Tokushima Vortis	0:4 ✺
04.10.25	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWLW
- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
09.11.25	Montedio Yamagata - Imabari	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Oita Trinita - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Montedio Yamagata - Omiya Ardija	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Montedio Yamagata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Consadole Sapporo - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
05.04.25	Montedio Yamagata - Júbilo Iwata	0:0
09.07.23	Montedio Yamagata - Júbilo Iwata	1:3
04.03.23	Júbilo Iwata - Montedio Yamagata	2:1
17.07.21	Júbilo Iwata - Montedio Yamagata	1:2
25.04.21	Montedio Yamagata - Júbilo Iwata	1:0
27.09.20	Montedio Yamagata - Júbilo Iwata	1:0
23.02.20	Júbilo Iwata - Montedio Yamagata	2:0

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