Match Info

J2 League - Round 33

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Montedio Yamagata		Roasso Kumamoto

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.95	Watch
				Watch
	2.15	3.4	3
	2.27	3.64	3.09
	2.35	3.36	2.89	Watch
	2.18	3.42	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.19)	3.46 ↑ (3.45)	2.99 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montedio Yamagata
42%

Draw
26.9%

Roasso Kumamoto
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.1%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Montedio Yamagata - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montedio Yamagata (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Montedio Yamagata will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Shibuya T. (G) 19. Okamoto K. 3. Kumamoto Y. 22. Shirowa H. 13. Nodake H. 71. Nakamura R. 17. Terayama T. 88. Doi S. 10. Kida R. 90. Disaro A. S. 25. Kokubu S.	1. Sato S. (G) 25. Kobayashi K. 4. Hakamata Y. 24. Ri T. 9. Omoto Y. 8. Kamimura S. 6. Iwashita W. 17. Fujii K. 14. Shiohama R. 11. Bae Jeong-Min 10. Konagaya C.
Substitutes
27. Enomoto K. 16. Hasegawa K. (G) 55. Horikane S. 15. Kawai A. 23. Omori S. 49. Sakamoto K. 14. Sakamoto K. 21. Tanaka W. 20. Yoshio Kaina	5. Abe K. 18. Handai M. 16. Matsuoka R. 15. Mishima S. 3. Onishi R. 20. Osaki S. 23. Sato Y. (G) 7. Takemoto Y. 21. Toyoda A.
Coaches
Yokouchi A.	Oki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Ri T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', Konagaya C. ↓, Toyoda A. ↑,
64', Bae Jeong-Min ↓, Handai M. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Disaro A. S. ⚽, Doi S. (A),
66', Kokubu S. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
70', Doi S. ↓, Enomoto K. ↑,
70', Disaro A. S. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Toyoda A. ⚽, Omoto Y. (A),
87', Shiohama R. 🟨,
90+3', Kida R. ↓, Omori S. ↑,
90+3', Nodake H. ↓, Kawai A. ↑,
90+3', Fujii K. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 5.

Montedio Yamagata is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Kumamoto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kumamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Montedio Yamagata could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:13. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
04.10.25	Consadole Sapporo - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Vegalta Sendai - Montedio Yamagata	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Montedio Yamagata - Kataller Toyama	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW
- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
05.10.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Iwaki	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	JEF United Chiba - Roasso Kumamoto	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto	4:2 ✺
15.09.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Kataller Toyama - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
16.03.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata	1:3
27.10.24	Montedio Yamagata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0
26.05.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata	0:1
19.08.23	Montedio Yamagata - Roasso Kumamoto	2:0
28.05.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata	0:3
Japan J1 League
06.11.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata	2:2
Japan J2 League
10.07.22	Montedio Yamagata - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1

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