Match Info

J2 League - Round 35

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Júbilo Iwata		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.8	1.86	Watch
	3.6	3.65	1.85	Watch
	3.72	3.75	1.82	Watch
	3.42	3.79	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (3.72)	3.72 ↓ (3.75)	1.86 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
25.5%

Draw
24.9%

V-Varen Nagasaki
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

24.6%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

23.6%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Júbilo Iwata - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawashima E. (G) 52. Van den Bergh J. 5. Ezaki T. 36. Ricardo Graca 71. Masui K. 6. Kaneko D. 4. Matsubara K. 7. Uehara R. 25. Nakamura S. 79. Browne N. 9. Watanabe R.	21. Goto M. (G) 48. Teruyama H. 25. Kushibiki K. 44. Egawa Y. 50. Onaga H. 5. Yamaguchi H. 8. Diego Pituca 33. Kasayanagi T. 10. Matheus Jesus 19. Sawada T. 11. Junio E.
Substitutes
14. Arjvirai P. 18. Inoue S. 38. Kawaguchi N. 33. Kawai T. 2. Kawasaki I. 21. Miura R. (G) 3. Morioka R. 20. Sato R. 39. Sumi K.	45. Gabriel Tigrao 34. Matsumoto T. 20. Nakamura K. 15. Okano J. 3. Sekiguchi M. 41. Tadokoro R. 1. Tomizawa M. (G) 18. Yamasaki R. 23. Yoneda S.
Coaches
Amma T.	Takagi T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Watanabe R. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kushibiki K. 🟨,
57', Sawada T. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
57', Kasayanagi T. ↓, Yoneda S. ↑,
57', Junio E. ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
66', Ricardo Graca 🟨,
69', Diego Pituca ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
71', Ricardo Graca ↓, Morioka R. ↑,
71', Uehara R. ↓, Sumi K. ↑,
71', Nakamura S. ↓, Inoue S. ↑,
74', Egawa Y. 🟨,
81', Browne N. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
88', Kushibiki K. ↓, Gabriel Tigrao ↑,
90', Masui K. ↓, Kawaguchi N. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 1.

Recent performances by Iwata have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

V-Varen Nagasaki is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

V-Varen Nagasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, V-Varen Nagasaki is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Iwata won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
26.10.25	Ehime - Júbilo Iwata	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Júbilo Iwata - Tokushima Vortis	0:4 ✺
04.10.25	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	3:4 ✺
20.09.25	Fujieda MYFC - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLL
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
25.10.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Imabari	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	JEF United Chiba - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Blaublitz Akita - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kataller Toyama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
01.03.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:0
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:0
Japan J2 League
01.10.23	Júbilo Iwata - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0
27.05.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata	2:1
20.11.21	Júbilo Iwata - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2
26.06.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata	0:1
14.10.20	Júbilo Iwata - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0

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