Match Info

J2 League - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Júbilo Iwata		Vanraure Hachinohe

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.00	6.25
	1.47	3.75	5.75
	1.45	4.00	6.50	Watch
	1.49	4.20	7.26
	1.51	4.07	6.4	Watch
	1.47	4.00	7.15
	1.51	4.03	6.29	Watch
	1.45	4.10	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.67)	4.02 ↑ (3.64)	6.55 ↑ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
62.8%

Draw
23.1%

Vanraure Hachinohe
14.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56%

25.7%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.8%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Júbilo Iwata's performance.

Vanraure Hachinohe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanraure Hachinohe than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Júbilo Iwata - Vanraure Hachinohe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Iwata (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Iwata (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - under (9.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - under (3.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Vanraure (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Júbilo Iwata will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Iwata (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Vanraure (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawashima E. (G) 37. Kawasaki I. 2. Danilo Cardoso 30. Yamazaki K. 36. Yoshimura R. 15. Yuri Lara 77. Fujiwara K. 47. Sato D. 23. Inui T. 31. Iago Teles 32. Ota R.	13. Onishi S. (G) 2. Hiramatsu W. 15. Sasaki K. 3. Sawada Y. 80. Nagata K. 34. Takayoshi S. 8. Otoizumi S. 7. Sato A. 17. Sato Y. 9. Takao R. 29. Oka K.
Substitutes
18. Inoue S. 6. Kaneko D. 20. Kato D. 33. Kawai T. 4. Matsubara K. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 14. Ohara M. 8. Tameda H. 99. Victor J.	33. Igari Y. 30. Inami Y. 77. Mara K. Z. (G) 99. Nakano S. 35. Owie W. 10. Sawakami R. 4. Suzuki S. 6. Unoki F. 11. Yukie H.
Coaches
Akiba T.	Kuraishi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Otoizumi S. ⚽, Oka K. (A),
31', Ota R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Oka K. ↓, Inami Y. ↑,
50', Yuri Lara 🟨,
57', Takao R. ↓, Owie W. ↑,
57', Sato A. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
59', Yuri Lara ↓, Inoue S. ↑,
59', Iago Teles ↓, Kawai T. ↑,
59', Ota R. ↓, Victor J. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Victor J. ⚽,
64', Nagata K. ↓, Sawakami R. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Takayoshi S. ⚽,
70', Sato Y. ↓, Unoki F. ↑,
70', Sato D. ↓, Ohara M. ↑,
78', Danilo Cardoso ↓, Tameda H. ↑,
89', Fujiwara K. 🟨,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th and 18th in the Relegation ~ J3 League).

In recent outings, Iwata has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Vanraure is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Iwata may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Iwata has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Vanraure has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Iwata is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Iwata has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for Iwata against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Iwata	11	4	2	5	13:14	-1	14
19	Vanraure	11	3	2	6	9:20	-11	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
19.09.26	Albirex Niigata - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Júbilo Iwata - Kataller Toyama	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Sagamihara - Júbilo Iwata	0:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Tochigi City - Júbilo Iwata	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWW
- Vanraure Hachinohe
Japan J2 League
18.09.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Shonan Bellmare	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Fujieda MYFC - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tochigi City	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
14.08.19	Júbilo Iwata - Vanraure Hachinohe	6:0

Upcoming Matches