Match Info

J2 League - Round 16

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Fukuda Denshi Arena (Chiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	JEF United Chiba		Vegalta Sendai

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.21	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.17	3.35	3.56
	2.2	3.23	3.32	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.09	3.3	3.33	Watch
	2.21	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.15)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	3.25 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JEF United Chiba
42.5%

Draw
29%

Vegalta Sendai
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27.2%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

27.7%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Vegalta Sendai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

JEF United Chiba - Vegalta Sendai Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. JEF United will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Sendai will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for JEF United: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sendai (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - JEF United (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. JEF United (votes: 1 - 50%). Sendai (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Suarez J. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 24. Toriumi K. 13. Suzuki D. 15. Mae T. 7. Tanaka K. 44. Shinada M. 10. Yokoyama A. 14. Tsubaki N. 20. Ishikawa D. 29. Carlinhos	33. Hayashi A. (G) 25. Mase T. 44. Inoue S. 5. Sugata M. 3. Okuyama M. 11. Goke Y. 8. Takeda H. 10. Kamada H. 27. Onaiwu G. 9. Eron 47. Araki S.
Substitutes
9. Goya H. 17. Hayashi M. 67. Hidaka M. 27. Iwai T. 28. Kawano T. 5. Kobayashi Y. 18. Sugiyama N. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 25. Yasui T.	42. Ishii H. 39. Ishio R. 17. Kudo A. 19. Mateus Moraes 99. Miyazaki K. 24. Myogan T. 2. Takada R. 21. Umeda R. (G) 18. Umeki T.
Coaches
Kobayashi Y.	Moriyama Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Yokoyama A. (Pen),
41', Suzuki D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Onaiwu G. ↓, Ishio R. ↑,
67', Eron ↓, Umeki T. ↑,
71', Tsubaki N. ↓, Sugiyama N. ↑,
79', Goke Y. ↓, Takada R. ↑,
82', Inoue S. 🟨,
82', Yokoyama A. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
82', Tanaka K. ↓, Iwai T. ↑,
87', Araki S. ↓, Miyazaki K. ↑,
88', Takeda H. ↓, Kudo A. ↑,
88', Ishikawa D. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
88', Carlinhos ↓, Goya H. ↑,
90+2', Shinada M. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 4.

JEF United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sendai is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

JEF United will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, JEF United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JEF United Chiba
Japan J2 League
11.05.25	Imabari - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
06.05.25	JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Sagan Tosu - JEF United Chiba	1:1 ✺
29.04.25	Roasso Kumamoto - JEF United Chiba	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	JEF United Chiba - Blaublitz Akita	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTTW
- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
10.05.25	Omiya Ardija - Vegalta Sendai	3:0 ✺
06.05.25	Vegalta Sendai - Fujieda MYFC	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Vegalta Sendai - Renofa Yamaguchi	3:1 ✺
29.04.25	Ventforet Kofu - Vegalta Sendai	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Vegalta Sendai - Ehime	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
25.08.24	JEF United Chiba - Vegalta Sendai	4:2
27.04.24	Vegalta Sendai - JEF United Chiba	0:2
23.09.23	JEF United Chiba - Vegalta Sendai	3:1
28.05.23	Vegalta Sendai - JEF United Chiba	2:1
27.08.22	Vegalta Sendai - JEF United Chiba	0:2
05.06.22	JEF United Chiba - Vegalta Sendai	2:0

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