The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sagan Tosu 32.1%
Draw 28.7%
JEF United Chiba 39.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
25.6%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
25.3%
45.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and JEF United Chiba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that JEF United Chiba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
50%
37.5%
Sagan Tosu - JEF United Chiba Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). JEF United will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Tosu (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tosu (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Izumori R. (G) 13. Inoue T. 37. Morishita R. 32. Ogawa S. 22. Matsuda E. 33. Nishiya K. 27. Sakurai T. 7. Arai H. 11. Nishikawa J. 77. Slivka V. 47. Shinkawa S.
23. Suzuki R. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 36. Matsuda R. 24. Toriumi K. 67. Hidaka M. 18. Sugiyama N. 44. Shinada M. 6. Eduardo 7. Tanaka K. 10. Yokoyama A. 17. Hayashi M.
Substitutes
18. Hino S. 44. Horigome Y. 4. Imazu Y. 23. Kitajima F. 2. Matsumoto N. 16. Nishizawa K. 19. Suzuki D. 35. Uchiyama K. (G) 91. Uehara M.
29. Carlinhos 20. Ishikawa D. 27. Iwai T. 28. Kawano T. 5. Kobayashi Y. 15. Mae T. 19. Suarez J. (G) 14. Tsubaki N. 25. Yasui T.
Coaches
Kogiku A.
Kobayashi Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Nishiya K. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Sugiyama N. ⚽, Shinada M. (A),
45+2', Nishiya K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Takahashi I. 🟨,
58', Shinkawa S. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
58', Matsuda E. ↓, Uehara M. ↑,
61', Yokoyama A. ↓, Ishikawa D. ↑,
61', Tanaka K. ↓, Tsubaki N. ↑,
63', Nishikawa J. ↓, Nishizawa K. ↑,
70', Ishikawa D. 🟨,
73', Hayashi M. ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
73', Sugiyama N. ↓, Iwai T. ↑,
74', Slivka V. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
74', Sakurai T. ↓, Matsumoto N. ↑,
88', Matsuda R. ↓, Kawano T. ↑,
90+1', Ogawa S. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).
Tosu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
JEF United is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.