Match Info

Latvian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: OC Ventspils stadions (Ventspils) 🌤️ ...


	JFK Ventspils		Liepāja

	1	X	2
	4.4	4.33	1.52
	6.1	4.55	1.37
				Watch
	6.85	4.6	1.39	Watch
	3.61	3.86	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (3.8)	4.34 ↑ (4.05)	1.48 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JFK Ventspils
17.4%

Draw
21%

Liepāja
61.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.6%

22.1%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

21.4%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JFK Ventspils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that JFK Ventspils's form might have worsened.

Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liepāja's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JFK Ventspils than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JFK Ventspils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liepāja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

JFK Ventspils - Liepāja Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovs A. (C) 8. Abedi Rodo Y. 20. Dembele M. 22. Essennouni Y. 5. Feldmans M. 27. Gueye B. 6. Hounlete P. 17. Liepajnieks V. 23. Lucins A. 10. Okeke A. 15. Veidemanis R.	12. Petkovic D. (C) 72. Babic A. 14. Gueye D. 3. Iljins K. 26. Isajevs V. 91. Lausic M. 17. Melnis B. 7. Ogunniyi A. 9. Oloko E. 99. Samba T. 35. Sorokins V.
Substitutes
13. Jurcenko A. 18. Kicigins I. 26. Lengvenis M. 9. Markovs K. 16. Mukaev A. (G) 28. Psenicins R. 32. Rungis A. 29. Solomonovs N. 35. Terentjevs A.	11. Diaw M. 2. Girdvainis E. 28. Korobenko A. 44. Leidsman K. 18. Melkis R. 24. Oss D. (G) 70. Patijcuks D. 19. Saveljevs A. 8. Traore A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Okeke A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ogunniyi A. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
55', Gueye D. 🟨,
58', Babic A. 🟨,
62', Oloko E. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
64', Samba T. ↓, Diaw M. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Leidsman K. ⚽,
74', Abedi Rodo Y. ↓, Markovs K. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Melnis B. ⚽,
81', Gueye D. ↓, Korobenko A. ↑,
82', Melnis B. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
83', Korobenko A. 🟨,
85', Okeke A. ↓, Jurcenko A. ↑,
85', Essennouni Y. ↓, Lengvenis M. ↑,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Liepāja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, JFK Ventspils has had a series of away games.

In this match, Liepāja is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JFK Ventspils
Latvian 1 Liga
05.07.25	Mārupe - JFK Ventspils	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	JFK Ventspils - Skanstes	2:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
20.06.25	Union Daugava - JFK Ventspils	1:3
Latvian 1 Liga
13.06.25	Riga 2 - JFK Ventspils	2:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
31.05.25	Aliance - JFK Ventspils	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWTW
- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
04.07.25	RFS - Liepāja	2:1 ✺
30.06.25	Liepāja - Grobiņa	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Tukums 2000 - Liepāja	1:3 ✺
21.06.25	Liepāja - Metta	1:0 ✺
17.06.25	Super Nova - Liepāja	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
01.11.26	Liepāja - Super Nova	✺

JFK Ventspils - Liepāja