Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Mehtimäki - artificial grass (Joensuu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	JIPPO		JäPS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.70	5.00
	1.56	3.70	4.70	Watch
	1.58	4.02	6.07
	1.48	4.29	6.42	Watch
	1.55	3.95	5.80
	1.64	3.75	5.21	Watch
	1.52	3.75	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)	3.88 ↓ (3.99)	5.49 ↑ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JIPPO
59.4%

Draw
23.8%

JäPS
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

23.1%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.7%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JIPPO has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JIPPO than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

JIPPO - JäPS Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - JIPPO (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: JIPPO will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. JIPPO (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Piirainen P. (G) 16. Forsman P. 24. Haataja N. 28. Honkola E. 10. Keturi O. 41. Kikuchi Y. 12. Lehtiranta J. 15. Sahimaa L. 21. Tykkylainen N. 3. Vesiaho V. (C) 6. Watanabe J.	77. Mustafa B. (G) 15. Dahlfors O. 6. Jama O. (C) 21. Katashira C. 17. Ketonen V. 19. Kuosa H. 2. Manner N. 20. Olander H. 11. Pallas E. 41. Salo J. 14. Selander R.
Substitutes
20. Forss L. 18. Kinnunen E. 11. Kiuru J. 7. Malinen J. 8. Smith T. 90. Tarvonen A. 9. Turunen M. 22. Vainikainen V. (G) 4. Victor de Paula	10. Ahola V. 23. Hahl H. 3. Haikonen P. 8. Heidari R. 4. Nikki J. 13. Sainio A. 36. Valtonen T. (G) 18. Virtanen J.
Coaches
Hallikainen M.	Kankkunen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Pallas E. 🟨,
40', Manner N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Manner N. ↓, Haikonen P. ↑,
56', Forsman P. 🟨,
62', Keturi O. ↓, Turunen M. ↑,
65', Dahlfors O. ↓, Hahl H. ↑,
66', Kuosa H. ↓, Ahola V. ↑,
67', Haataja N. 🟨,
71', Tykkylainen N. ↓, Forss L. ↑,
71', Honkola E. ↓, Kiuru J. ↑,
81', Ahola V. 🟨,
83', 1 - 0, Turunen M. ⚽,
83', Jama O. ↓, Heidari R. ↑,
83', Pallas E. ↓, Virtanen J. ↑,
90', Forsman P. ↓, Tarvonen A. ↑,
90', Lehtiranta J. ↓, Victor de Paula ↑,
90+4', Kankkunen T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JIPPO won 1.

JIPPO is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

JäPS's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

JIPPO may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, JIPPO is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, JIPPO won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:15. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, JIPPO won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	JaPS	25	11	2	12	23:36	-13	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JIPPO
Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.07.26	PK-35 Vantaa - JIPPO	1:1 ✺
15.07.26	JIPPO - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	Klubi 04 - JIPPO	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	KTP Kotka - JIPPO	3:3 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
27.06.26	JIPPO - Ekenäs	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWTT
- JäPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.07.26	JäPS - Klubi 04	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Ekenäs - JäPS	0:1 ✺
10.07.26	KTP Kotka - JäPS	4:1 ✺
03.07.26	JäPS - SJK Akatemia	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	KaPa - JäPS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
06.04.26	JIPPO - JäPS	0:0
Finnish Ykkoscup
31.01.26	JäPS - JIPPO	0:1
Finnish Ykkosliiga
18.10.25	JäPS - JIPPO	1:1
08.07.25	JIPPO - JäPS	1:1
17.05.25	JäPS - JIPPO	1:1
Finnish Ykkoscup
01.02.25	JäPS - JIPPO	1:2
Finnish Ykkosliiga
05.10.24	JäPS - JIPPO	1:4

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