Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: Arto Tolsa Areena (Kotka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	KTP Kotka		JIPPO

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.91	3.20	3.45	Watch
	1.85	3.72	4.10
	1.96	3.62	3.61	Watch
	1.83	3.65	4.05
	1.77	3.58	3.92
	1.81	3.30	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.31)	3.51 ↑ (3.05)	3.82 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KTP Kotka
49.7%

Draw
26.2%

JIPPO
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KTP Kotka's performance.

JIPPO has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and JIPPO might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KTP Kotka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JIPPO than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

KTP Kotka - JIPPO Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 8 - 80%). JIPPO will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KTP: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. KTP (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Zhuk M. (G) 3. Agyei D. 4. Chibuzor C. 8. Coker M. 10. Forsell P. 21. Hanninen O. 7. Makela J. (C) 17. Manneh F. 26. Paavola M. 13. Tahmbi N. 37. Tanaka A.	1. Piirainen P. (G) 16. Forsman P. 20. Forss L. 24. Haataja N. 41. Kikuchi Y. 11. Kiuru J. 15. Sahimaa L. 90. Tarvonen A. 21. Tykkylainen N. 3. Vesiaho V. (C) 6. Watanabe J.
Substitutes
18. Eloluoto O. 5. Holtta S. 2. Huttunen O. 25. Leikas J. (G) 19. Polat R. 30. Puhakainen L. 20. Tulehmo A.	28. Honkola E. 18. Kinnunen E. 12. Lehtiranta J. 2. Mahugo K. 7. Malinen J. 8. Smith T. 9. Turunen M. 22. Vainikainen V. (G) 4. Victor de Paula
Coaches
Pasoja J.	Hallikainen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Tarvonen A. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Watanabe J. ⚽,
36', Vesiaho V. 🟨,
43', 1 - 2, Tanaka A. ⚽, Makela J. (A),
45+1', 2 - 2, Tanaka A. ⚽, Forsell P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Tanaka A. ↓, Holtta S. ↑,
55', Vesiaho V. ↓, Mahugo K. ↑,
59', Watanabe J. 🟨,
63', Tarvonen A. ↓, Honkola E. ↑,
63', Watanabe J. ↓, Lehtiranta J. ↑,
68', Hanninen O. ↓, Tulehmo A. ↑,
69', Forsell P. 🟨,
72', 3 - 2, Tulehmo A. ⚽, Manneh F. (A),
79', Forss L. ↓, Turunen M. ↑,
79', Kiuru J. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
84', 3 - 3, Turunen M. ⚽,
88', Coker M. ↓, Polat R. ↑,
88', Manneh F. ↓, Eloluoto O. ↑,
90+3', Honkola E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 3.

KTP is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

JIPPO's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

KTP could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, KTP won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	KTP ✔	25	18	4	3	45:22	23	58

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Kotka
Finnish Ykkoscup
27.06.26	Haka - KTP Kotka	0:2 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
12.06.26	KTP Kotka - Ekenäs	5:1 ✺
08.06.26	KTP Kotka - Haka	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	KaPa - KTP Kotka	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	KTP Kotka - SJK Akatemia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW
- JIPPO
Finnish Ykkoscup
27.06.26	JIPPO - Ekenäs	1:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
13.06.26	JIPPO - KaPa	3:0 ✺
09.06.26	SJK Akatemia - JIPPO	0:0 ✺
29.05.26	Haka - JIPPO	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	JIPPO - PK-35 Vantaa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
18.04.26	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	0:0
Finnish Ykkoscup
21.02.26	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	1:2
Finnish Cup
07.05.25	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	1:2 penalties
Finnish Ykkosliiga
31.08.24	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	3:2
12.06.24	KTP Kotka - JIPPO	2:1
20.04.24	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	1:0
Finnish Ykkoscup
03.02.24	KTP Kotka - JIPPO	1:1

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