The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JJK Jyväskylä 63.9%
Draw 19.5%
Jazz Pori 16.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.9%
19.8%
17.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.4%
18.8%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JJK Jyväskylä has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Jazz Pori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JJK Jyväskylä than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jazz Pori than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
JJK Jyväskylä - Jazz Pori Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vetri L. (G) 35. Aaltonen A. 3. Akdogan B. (C) 6. Ciriaco A. 10. Dunyin J. 52. Heimonen J. 17. Imonioro P. U. 19. Liimatainen N. 26. Lundell M. 8. Pahkala T. 33. Tolra A.
1. Kangasaho T. (G) 8. Kaipiainen E. 5. Lakkamaki J. 19. Lamminen F. 2. Lemio J. (C) 4. Luhtanen A. 11. Mattila E. 3. Nuorela J. 17. Nuorela L. 16. Petrishin J. 20. Tuominen E.
Substitutes
20. Jalasvaara A. 23. Maunuksela V. 30. Oikarinen A. (G) 16. Patjas N. 15. Rainerma L. 72. Rintamaki K. 11. Sainila E. 27. Traore B. 22. Wacklin D.
6. Aydin N. 15. Furuholm A. 9. Lamberg E. 14. Marttila J. 22. Pulla J. 26. Riihela J. (G) 12. Vare E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Nuorela L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', Liimatainen N. ↓, Sainila E. ↑,
62', Lamminen F. ↓, Pulla J. ↑,
62', Tuominen E. ↓, Marttila J. ↑,
63', Luhtanen A. ↓, Vare E. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Pulla J. ⚽,
67', Imonioro P. U. ↓, Jalasvaara A. ↑,
73', Kaipiainen E. 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, Dunyin J. ⚽,
80', Sainila E. 🟨,
81', 1 - 3, Pulla J. ⚽,
85', Aaltonen A. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
89', Heimonen J. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JJK won 3.
JJK has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Jazz is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Jazz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, JJK is the team to beat.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, JJK won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, JJK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.7:1.9).