Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 18

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Strelnice (Jablonec nad Nisou)

Referee: Berka O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1


	Jablonec		Bohemians 1905

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.08	3.35	3.3	Watch
	2.14	3.37	3.65
	2.01	3.48	3.58	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.4
	2.17	3.41	3.36	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.77)	3.36 ↓ (3.64)	3.42 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jablonec
44.7%

Draw
27.9%

Bohemians 1905
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25.7%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jablonec's form might have worsened.

Bohemians 1905 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bohemians 1905's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jablonec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bohemians 1905 than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bohemians 1905, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Jablonec - Bohemians 1905 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jablonec will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jablonec: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jablonec (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hanus J. (G) 90. Innocenti N. 4. Tekijaski N. (C) 57. Novak F. 18. Cedidla M. 13. Sedlacek R. 8. Zorvan F. 7. Chanturishvili V. 77. Alegue A. 44. Jawo L. 19. Chramosta J.	12. Reichl M. (G) 25. Kareem P. 28. Hulka L. (C) 22. Vondra J. 99. Sinyavskiy V. 47. Cermak A. 6. Sakala B. 27. Kadlec A. 13. Zeman V. 19. Kovarik J. 77. Ristovski M.
Substitutes
17. Lavrincik S. 42. Malensek M. 99. Mihelak K. (G) 12. Nykrin D. 84. Pantalon R. 9. Penxa L. 24. Puskac D. 16. Rusek A. 14. Soucek D. 5. Stepanek D. 10. Suchan J.	70. Cerny S. 20. Drchal V. 23. Fruhwald T. (G) 7. Hybs M. 3. Kadlec M. 35. Kukucka O. 24. Plestil D. 11. Ramirez E. 71. Siman J. (G) 42. Smrz V. 9. Yusuf
Coaches
Kozel L.	Vesely J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Sakala B. 🟨,
43', Kovarik J. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Chramosta J. ⚽, Alegue A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ristovski M. ↓, Yusuf ↑,
46', Zeman V. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
66', Innocenti N. ↓, Soucek D. ↑,
66', Chramosta J. ↓, Rusek A. ↑,
67', Kadlec A. ↓, Drchal V. ↑,
67', Kovarik J. ↓, Smrz V. ↑,
75', Jawo L. ↓, Puskac D. ↑,
80', Sinyavskiy V. 🟨,
84', Sakala B. ↓, Plestil D. ↑,
87', Alegue A. ↓, Suchan J. ↑,
87', Zorvan F. ↓, Stepanek D. ↑,
90', Rusek A. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 2.

Jablonec has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bohemians is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jablonec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jablonec is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Jablonec: Nebyla S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bohemians: Matousek J. (Injury) Okeke N. (Yellow Cards) Plestil D. (Injury) Vala D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Jablonec: Polidar M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jablonec won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jablonec
Czech 1 Liga
29.11.25	Hradec Králové - Jablonec	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Jablonec - Viktoria Plzeň	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Baník Ostrava - Jablonec	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Jablonec - Zlín	1:3 ✺
Czech Cup
28.10.25	Jablonec - Dukla Prague	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWLW
- Bohemians 1905
Czech 1 Liga
30.11.25	Bohemians 1905 - Teplice	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Slavia Prague - Bohemians 1905	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Zlín - Bohemians 1905	0:1 ✺
Czech Cup
05.11.25	Bohemians 1905 - Mladá Boleslav	0:1 penalties ✺
Czech 1 Liga
02.11.25	Bohemians 1905 - Hradec Králové	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
10.08.25	Bohemians 1905 - Jablonec	0:1
02.02.25	Jablonec - Bohemians 1905	0:1
24.08.24	Bohemians 1905 - Jablonec	1:2
12.05.24	Bohemians 1905 - Jablonec	1:1
30.03.24	Bohemians 1905 - Jablonec	2:0
22.10.23	Jablonec - Bohemians 1905	0:1
30.04.23	Bohemians 1905 - Jablonec	4:1

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