Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/32-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Governador Roberto Santos (Pituacu) (Salvador) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	21:30	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Jacuipense		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.5	1.57	Watch
	4	3.1	1.85
	5.9	3.5	1.58
	6.91	3.4	1.58
	5.63	3.14	1.71	Watch
	5.75	3.3	1.62
	6.51	3.35	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.85 ↑ (4.04)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	1.65 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacuipense
15.8%

Draw
27.9%

Grêmio Novorizontino
56.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.7%

27%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

27.9%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacuipense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jacuipense's form might have worsened.

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio Novorizontino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jacuipense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Jacuipense - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Grêmio Novorizontino will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcelo (C) 18. Vicente 4. Weverton 3. Railon 5. Talisca 22. Hugo Moura 7. William 8. Vinicius Amaral 14. Thiago 21. Thiaguinho 19. Pedro Henrique	31. Cesar Augusto (G) 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 25. Dantas 4. Patrick 20. Castrillon N. 6. Luis Oyama 18. Leo Naldi 15. Tavinho 10. Romulo 16. Vinicius Paiva 11. Robson
Substitutes
9. Adriano 20. Alison Daniel 13. Daniel Costa 16. David Santana 11. Flavinho 15. Gabriel Pereira 10. Geovani 23. Italo (G) 17. Joao Pedro 25. Pereira G. 6. Ruan 2. Vicente	90. Caio Dantas 9. Carlao 19. Diego Galo 26. Gabriel Bahia 22. Ivan Alvarino 50. Juninho 1. Lucas Pereira (G) 17. Matheus Bianqui 30. Nicolas Careca 8. Ortiz C. 7. Ronald Barcellos
Coaches
Rodrigo Ribeiro	Moreira E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Robson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Weverton 🟨,
53', Patrick 🟨,
56', Thiago 🟨,
65', Romulo ↓, Juninho ↑,
65', Tavinho ↓, Ronald Barcellos ↑,
65', William ↓, Alison Daniel ↑,
73', Vinicius Amaral ↓, Gabriel Pereira ↑,
74', Pedro Henrique ↓, Flavinho ↑,
77', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
78', Castrillon N. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
84', Robson ↓, Carlao ↑,
86', Vicente ↓, Ruan ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Nicolas Careca (Penalty Awarded),
1, Thiaguinho (Penalty Awarded),
2, Leo Naldi (Penalty Awarded),
2, Weverton (Penalty Awarded),
3, Carlao (Penalty Awarded),
3, Talisca (Penalty Awarded),
4, Eduardo Brock (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hugo Moura (Penalty Awarded),
5, Juninho (Penalty Awarded),
5, Flavinho (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Jacuipense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Novorizontino has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jacuipense has had a series of away games.

In this match, Novorizontino is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Grêmio Novorizontino - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.22%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Jacuipense
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Santa Catarina - Jacuipense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
01.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense	2:1 penalties ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Ceilândia - Jacuipense	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
22.02.26	Jacuipense - Bahia de Feira	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Bahia - Jacuipense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WLWWT
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Mixto - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.03.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Palmeiras - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Nacional AM	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW

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