Match Info

Baiano - Round 9

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Governador Roberto Santos (Pituacu) (Salvador)


	Jacuipense		Bahia de Feira

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.15	3.1	3.3
	2.18	3.00	3.31	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.25
	2.11	3	3.4
	1.88	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.87)	3.08 ↓ (3.37)	3.41 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacuipense
43.7%

Draw
29.6%

Bahia de Feira
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.4%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

26.8%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacuipense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jacuipense's form might have worsened.

Bahia de Feira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jacuipense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia de Feira than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Jacuipense - Bahia de Feira Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bahia de Feira (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahia de Feira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcelo (G) 20. Alison Daniel 22. Hugo Moura 19. Pedro Henrique 3. Railon 6. Ruan 14. Thiago 21. Thiaguinho 8. Vinicius Amaral 4. Weverton 7. William	1. Milton Raphael (G) 17. Alex Cazumba (C) 11. Arthur Martins 2. da Silva Freire M. V. 4. Dudu 8. Junior Santos 24. Luciano Grafite 14. Pedrao 5. Peterson 10. Ronan 6. Wellington Cezar
Substitutes
16. Adriano 13. Daniel Costa 11. Flavinho 15. Gabriel Pereira 10. Geovani 23. Italo Pezao (G) 9. Jarles Baiano 17. Joao Pedro 5. Pereira G. 25. Sidney Freitas 18. Vicente 2. Vicente	22. Dodo 15. Elivelton 20. Fabricio Neguinho 16. Guilherme Bastos 25. Guilherme Silva 23. Janilson (G) 18. Johnata 7. Lucas Santos 21. Marcos Vinicius 3. Matheus Recife 19. Vitinho 13. Wander

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Pedrao ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Thiaguinho ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Pedro Henrique ⚽,
45+5', 3 - 1, Railon ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', Guilherme Bastos 🟥,
90+7', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jacuipense won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bahia de Feira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jacuipense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Jacuipense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jacuipense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Jacuipense
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
14.02.26	Bahia - Jacuipense	2:2 ✺
10.02.26	Jacuipense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Jacuipense - Jequié	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Juazeirense - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Jacuipense - Galícia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWLTW
- Bahia de Feira
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
18.02.26	Vitória Salvador - Bahia de Feira	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Bahia de Feira - Barcelona de Ilhéus	6:1 ✺
03.02.26	Galícia - Bahia de Feira	1:2 ✺
29.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Jequié	1:2 ✺
22.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Porto SC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
01.02.24	Jacuipense - Bahia de Feira	1:0
Brazilian Serie D
02.07.23	Jacuipense - Bahia de Feira	0:0
27.05.23	Bahia de Feira - Jacuipense	2:2
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
05.02.23	Bahia de Feira - Jacuipense	3:2
16.02.22	Jacuipense - Bahia de Feira	2:0
21.02.21	Bahia de Feira - Jacuipense	0:0
26.01.20	Jacuipense - Bahia de Feira	4:1

Jacuipense - Bahia de Feira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide