Match Info

Druga NL - Round 30

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday


	Jadran Poreč		Marsonia

	1	X	2
	5.8	5.2	1.36
	5.47	5.35	1.35
	5.69	5.43	1.37
	6.51	5.15	1.33
	5.8	5.2	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.85 ↑ (4.44)	5.27 ↑ (4.51)	1.35 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jadran Poreč
15.5%

Draw
17.3%

Marsonia
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

20.1%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

19.7%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jadran Poreč has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Marsonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marsonia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jadran Poreč than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jadran Poreč, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsonia than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marsonia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jadran Poreč - Marsonia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Jadran Poreč is Relegated to

Jadran Poreč has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Marsonia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jadran Poreč may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Marsonia is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jadran Poreč won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jadran Poreč won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jadran Poreč
Croatian Druga NL
24.05.25	Solin - Jadran Poreč	6:0 ✺
17.05.25	Grobničan - Jadran Poreč	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Jadran Poreč - Trnje Zagreb	0:0 ✺
02.05.25	Karlovac - Jadran Poreč	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Jadran Poreč - Bjelovar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL
- NK Marsonia
Croatian Druga NL
24.05.25	Marsonia - Trnje Zagreb	5:0 ✺
16.05.25	Karlovac - Marsonia	6:0 ✺
10.05.25	Marsonia - Bjelovar	3:1 ✺
02.05.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Marsonia	5:1 ✺
19.04.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Marsonia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
01.06.24	Jadran Poreč - Marsonia	1:3
25.11.23	Marsonia - Jadran Poreč	0:0
01.04.23	Marsonia - Jadran Poreč	3:2
24.09.22	Jadran Poreč - Marsonia	3:2

Jadran Poreč - Marsonia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide