Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1


	Jagiellonia Białystok		Paphos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.20	2.70
	2.25	3.30	2.75
	2.5	3.41	2.48
	1.41	4.01	8.48	Watch
	2.45	3.35	2.35
	3.35	3.56	2.04	Watch
	2.43	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.71)	3.43 ↑ (3.31)	3.35 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
41.6%

Draw
28.9%

Paphos
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

27.3%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

27.9%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia Białystok's performance.

Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paphos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jagiellonia Białystok that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paphos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Jagiellonia Białystok - Paphos Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Abramowicz S. (G)
8. Drachal D.
11. Imaz J.
72. Jozwiak K.
4. Kobayashi Y.
23. Montoia G.
6. Romanczuk T.
17. Sylla Y.
77. Szmyt K.
13. Vital B.
15. Wojtuszek N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Drachal D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Paphos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Paphos has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
Club Friendly
09.07.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Siedlce	4:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	GKS Katowice - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:2 ✺
13.05.26	Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWTW
- Paphos FC
Club Friendly
08.07.26	Jablonec - Paphos	0:0 ✺
03.07.26	Cracovia - Paphos	1:2 ✺
Cypriot Cup
29.05.26	Apollon Limassol - Paphos	0:2 ✺
Cypriot First Division
22.05.26	Paphos - APOEL	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	AEK Larnaca - Paphos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWWT

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