Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Polissya Zhytomyr		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.80	2.70
	1.99	3.60	2.71
	2.42	2.98	3.11	Watch
	2.55	3.80	2.00
	2.70	4.15	2.18	Watch
	2.60	4.05	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.6)	3.73 ↓ (3.83)	2.47 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polissya Zhytomyr
38.4%

Draw
24.5%

Jagiellonia Białystok
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

23.5%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

22.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polissya Zhytomyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polissya Zhytomyr that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polissya Zhytomyr - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Buschan 11. Andrade 18. Andriyevski O. 8. Babenko R. 45. Bragaru M. 27. Fedor O. 16. Krasniqi I. 95. Krasnopir I. 55. Krushynskyi B. 15. Melnychenko M. 5. Sarapiy E.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 8. Drachal D. 11. Imaz J. 72. Jozwiak K. 4. Kobayashi Y. 44. Konstantopoulos A. 2. Polak C. 9. Rallis D. 6. Romanczuk T. 7. Szmyt K. 5. Vital B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Drachal D. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
33', Polak C. ↓, Montoia G. ↑,
33', Konstantopoulos A. ↓, Wojtuszek N. ↑,
35', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rallis D. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
46', Abramowicz S. ↓, Perchel M. ↑,
62', Romanczuk T. ↓, Polak C. ↑,
62', Imaz J. ↓, Kozlowski E. ↑,
62', Jozwiak K. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
62', Szmyt K. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
62', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Zalewski Z. ↑,
77', 🟨,

Preview

Polissya is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jagiellonia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Polissya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jagiellonia Białystok - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 41.82%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polissya Zhytomyr
Club Friendly
02.07.26	Wörgl - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:11 ✺
02.07.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Sabah	4:1 ✺
29.06.26	Universitatea Craiova - Polissya Zhytomyr	4:3 ✺
24.06.26	CSKA Sofia - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:4 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
24.05.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Rukh Lviv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Siedlce	4:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	GKS Katowice - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:2 ✺
13.05.26	Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTWW

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