Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 33

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion miejski w Katowicach (Katowice)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 7
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	GKS Katowice		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.52	3.55	2.45	Watch
	2.73	3.75	2.54
	2.75	3.44	2.55	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.45
	2.62	3.5	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.61)	3.52 ↓ (3.58)	2.47 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Katowice
35.6%

Draw
26.5%

Jagiellonia Białystok
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

25.8%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

25.9%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

GKS Katowice - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Jagiellonia (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Straczek R. (G) 30. Czerwinski A. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 14. Olsen M. 23. Wasielewski M. 22. Milewski S. 77. Kowalczyk M. 8. Galan B. 15. Markovic E. 99. Zrelak A. 27. Nowak B.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 13. Vital B. 4. Kobayashi Y. 23. Montoia G. 85. Kozlowski E. 21. Lozano S. 7. Pozo A. 11. Imaz J. (C) 77. Szmyt K. 10. Pululu A.
Substitutes
11. Blad A. 97. Jirka E. 6. Klemenz L. 21. Kokosinski J. 1. Kudla D. (G) 2. Kuusk M. 26. Rasak D. 80. Shkurin I. 70. Wdowiak M. 10. Wedrychowski M.	14. Bazdar S. 66. Damasiewicz A. (G) 8. Drachal D. 31. Flach L. 72. Jozwiak K. 44. Konstantopoulos A. 86. Mazurek B. 19. Nahuel M. 91. Pankiewicz S. 9. Rallis D. 27. Wdowik B.
Coaches
Gorak R.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Nowak B. ⚽, Kowalczyk M. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Vital B. ⚽, Lozano S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 2, Pululu A. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Pululu A. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
63', Lozano S. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
65', Milewski S. ↓, Rasak D. ↑,
65', Zrelak A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
66', Markovic E. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
76', Pozo A. ↓, Jozwiak K. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Galan B. ⚽, Nowak B. (A),
83', Wasielewski M. 🟨,
85', Galan B. 🟨,
90', Olsen M. 🟨,
90+1', Jedrych A. 🟨,
90+3', Galan B. ↓, Jirka E. ↑,
90+4', Olsen M. ↓, Klemenz L. ↑,
90+4', Kozlowski E. ↓, Nahuel M. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in GKS Katowice: Bosch J. (Pelvis Injury) Galan B. (Inactive) Jaroszek B. (Injury) Paluszek A. (Knee Injury) Rejczyk F. (Injury) Trepka L. (Knee Injury) Zrelak A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Romanczuk T. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Jagiellonia: 3.94% GKS Katowice: 2.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	GKS Katowice	9	5	0	4	20:14	6	15
10	Jagiellonia	9	4	0	5	13:16	-3	12

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Katowice - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.41%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Jagiellonia Białystok - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.75%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.05.26	Piast Gliwice - GKS Katowice	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	GKS Katowice - Termalica Nieciecza	5:1 ✺
25.04.26	Korona Kielce - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	GKS Katowice - Motor Lublin	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Lech Poznań - GKS Katowice	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWTWT
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.05.26	Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin	3:2 ✺
24.04.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Arka Gdynia - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:3 ✺
10.04.26	Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
17.03.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - GKS Katowice	2:1
Polish Cup
04.12.25	GKS Katowice - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.03.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - GKS Katowice	1:0
25.08.24	GKS Katowice - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:1
Polish Cup
31.10.18	GKS Katowice - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:1 ET

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