Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 22

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Chorten Arena (Bialystok)

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Jagiellonia Białystok		Radomiak Radom

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.92	3.65	3.5	Watch
	1.96	3.77	3.77
	1.89	3.94	3.76	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.6
	1.93	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.88	3.8	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.75)	3.73 ↑ (3.21)	3.66 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
49.3%

Draw
25.1%

Radomiak Radom
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

27.8%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom Predictions

Users Predictions: Jagiellonia Białystok will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jagiellonia Białystok will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 44. Konstantopoulos A. 23. Montoia G. 27. Wdowik B. 8. Drachal D. 6. Romanczuk T. 72. Jozwiak K. 11. Imaz J. 19. Nahuel M. 10. Pululu A. (C)	1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 13. Grzesik J. 14. Kingue S. 26. Dieguez A. 3. Wilson-Esbrand J. 77. Donis C. 7. Lopes V. 6. Baro R. 27. Wolski R. (C) 11. Capita 25. Maurides
Substitutes
14. Bazdar S. 66. Damasiewicz A. (G) 31. Flach L. 85. Kozlowski E. 53. Krasiewicz B. 86. Mazurek B. 7. Pozo A. 9. Rallis D. 17. Sylla Y. 77. Szmyt K.	5. Blasco J. 16. Cichocki M. 75. Jerke M. (G) 20. Joao Pedro 28. Kaput M. 44. Koptas W. (G) 9. Leandro 82. Luquinhas 19. Soumah S. 15. Tapsoba A. 71. Zabicki A. 24. Zie Ouattara
Coaches
Siemieniec A.	Feio G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Donis C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Wolski R. ⚽,
58', Nahuel M. ↓, Szmyt K. ↑,
58', Jozwiak K. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
62', Imaz J. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽,
65', Wilson-Esbrand J. ↓, Kaput M. ↑,
65', Donis C. ↓, Zie Ouattara ↑,
68', Drachal D. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
71', Maurides ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
71', Baro R. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
73', Kaput M. 🟨,
78', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
80', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
82', Lopes V. ↓, Soumah S. ↑,
84', Pozo A. 🟨,
86', Kaput M. 🟨,
90+4', Luquinhas 🟨,
90+5', Kingue S. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 5.

In recent matches, Jagiellonia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jagiellonia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Kobayashi Y. (Yellow Cards) Lozano S. (Inactive) Pelmard A. (Yellow Cards) Vital B. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Radomiak: Balde E. (Red Card) Camara I. (Yellow Cards) Molendowski M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Stojinovic D. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 2.2:1.7).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Jagiellonia: 1.39% Radomiak Radom: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Jagiellonia	9	4	0	5	13:16	-3	12
15	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	7:20	-13	8

Last Results with these Odds

Jagiellonia Białystok - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 50.97%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.02.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Fiorentina	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.02.26	Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Widzew Łódź - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.26	Maribor - Jagiellonia Białystok	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWW?
- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.02.26	Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Stal Rzeszów - Radomiak Radom	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Radomiak Radom - Znicz Pruszków	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.12.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
17.08.25	Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2
02.02.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom	5:0
27.07.24	Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:3
16.03.24	Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2
17.09.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom	3:2
Club Friendly
01.07.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom	2:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.02.23	Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:0

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