The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pogoń Szczecin 57.9%
Draw 22.8%
Radomiak Radom 19.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52%
24.4%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
23.9%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Szczecin's performance.
Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
95%
0%
5%
Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Pogoń Szczecin (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Pogoń Szczecin will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%). Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pogoń Szczecin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Cojocaru V. (G) 4. Riccio A. 13. Keramitsis D. 41. Szalai At. 23. Mendy B. 16. Dziczek P. (C) 6. Bieganski J. 21. Churlinov D. 35. Wojciechowski M. 18. Mukairu P. 22. Sanchez J.
1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 24. Zie Ouattara 14. Kingue S. 72. Koperski F. 97. Conrado 10. Alves R. 77. Donis C. 13. Grzesik J. 27. Wolski R. (C) 90. Lumungo R. 80. Guilherme Luiz
Substitutes
3. Acosta K. 31. Botis N. (G) 10. Cuic F. 30. Czaplinski J. 98. Dabrowski K. (G) 20. Eichie I. 11. Grosicki K. 47. Lawa N. 9. Molnar R. 17. Nsame J. 29. Willen L.
8. Camara I. 26. Dieguez A. 11. Goure F. 99. Gradecki B. (G) 23. Karasek K. 82. Luquinhas 18. Manu 7. Nunnely C. 3. Szczesniak K. 15. Tapsoba A. 31. Wolowiec C. (G)
Coaches
Garcia O.
Carver J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
3', Wojciechowski M. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Alves R. (Penalty Awarded),
17', 1 - 1, Keramitsis D. ⚽,
25', 1 - 2, Donis C. ⚽,
37', Mendy B. ↓, Willen L. ↑,
41', Keramitsis D. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 2, Riccio A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bieganski J. ↓, Grosicki K. ↑,
49', 3 - 2, Grosicki K. ⚽, Mukairu P. (A),
55', 4 - 2, Grosicki K. ⚽,
60', Guilherme Luiz ↓, Goure F. ↑,
60', Wolski R. ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
64', Wojciechowski M. ↓, Acosta K. ↑,
73', Donis C. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
73', Lumungo R. ↓, Nunnely C. ↑,
74', 4 - 3, Grzesik J. ⚽, Goure F. (A),
78', Mukairu P. ↓, Eichie I. ↑,
79', Churlinov D. ↓, Lawa N. ↑,
89', Camara I. 🟥,
90+7', Conrado ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16th in the Relegation - Division 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1.
Pogoń Szczecin is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Radomiak has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this matchup, Pogoń Szczecin is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Pogoń Szczecin in today's match, at odds of 1.71.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Pogoń Szczecin has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:14 (averaging 1.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pogoń Szczecin against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 10:5 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Pogon Szczecin
11
7
3
1
19:9
10
24
17
Radomiak Radom
12
2
2
8
12:28
-16
8
Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Pogon Szczecin: 10.02% Radomiak Radom: 0.3%
Last Results with these Odds
Pogoń Szczecin - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.96%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
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Cojocaru V. (G) 
Riccio A. 
Keramitsis D. 
Szalai At. 
Mendy B. 
Dziczek P. (C) 
Churlinov D. 
Mukairu P. 
Sanchez J. 
Zie Ouattara 
Kingue S. 
Conrado 
Alves R. 
Lumungo R. 
Acosta K. 
Cuic F. 
Eichie I. 
Willen L. 
Camara I. 
Manu 
Nunnely C. 
Tapsoba A. 
Carver J. 
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