Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 2

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Location: Motor Lublin Arena (Lublin)

Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Motor Lublin		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.40	2.25	Watch
	2.75	3.60	2.35
	2.70	3.50	2.40
	2.84	3.65	2.45
	2.78	3.59	2.44	Watch
	2.75	3.60	2.40
	2.92	3.54	2.34	Watch
	2.70	3.45	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.88)	3.54 ↑ (3.03)	2.38 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
33.8%

Draw
26.6%

Jagiellonia Białystok
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.2%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	37.5%	62.5%

Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Popa M. (G) 29. Santos T. 18. Bereszynski B. 39. Bartos M. 24. Luberecki F. 27. Bourhane Y. 30. Ndiaye M. 8. Kikis 6. Legowski M. 11. Fabio Ronaldo 10. Czubak K. (C)	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 5. Vital B. 4. Kobayashi Y. 23. Montoia G. 27. Conceicao R. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 21. Lozano S. 7. Szmyt K. 11. Imaz J. 99. Prelec N.
Substitutes
70. Aiko M. 5. Akatov A. 13. Brzozowski K. 90. Gregorski D. 23. Haxha F. 21. Kraska K. 16. Lewandowski F. 2. Meyer P. 4. Plavotic T. 20. Plichta K. 33. Tratnik G. (G) 22. Zlomanczuk M.	10. Agbonifo J. 8. Drachal D. 72. Jozwiak K. 19. Klynge A. 44. Konstantopoulos A. 85. Kozlowski E. 61. Krasiewicz B. 1. Perchel M. (G) 2. Polak C. 9. Rallis D. 17. Sylla Y. 80. Zalewski Z.
Coaches
Misiura M.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Prelec N. ⚽,
40', Montoia G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Conceicao R. ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,
68', Prelec N. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
68', Imaz J. ↓, Klynge A. ↑,
79', Legowski M. ↓, Meyer P. ↑,
79', Santos T. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
82', Vital B. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Czubak K. ⚽, Ndiaye M. (A),
85', 1 - 2, Lozano S. ⚽, Szmyt K. (A),
86', Bourhane Y. ↓, Plavotic T. ↑,
87', Kikis ↓, Haxha F. ↑,
87', Szmyt K. ↓, Jozwiak K. ↑,
87', Lozano S. ↓, Konstantopoulos A. ↑,
90+2', Jozwiak K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motor won 0.

Jagiellonia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Jackson A. (Inactive) Stojinovic D. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Motor won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Motor Lublin	11	3	3	5	15:19	-4	12
13	Jagiellonia	10	4	0	6	13:17	-4	12

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Jagiellonia: 1.73% Motor Lublin: 0.58%

Last Results with these Odds

Jagiellonia Białystok - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 40.05%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.07.26	Widzew Łódź - Motor Lublin	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Motor Lublin - Warta Poznań	4:1 ✺
27.06.26	Motor Lublin - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Motor Lublin	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	Motor Lublin - Cracovia	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWLT
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.07.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Nordsjælland - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Sparta Prague	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Paphos	1:0 ✺
09.07.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
07.02.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin	4:1
14.12.25	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1
16.02.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin	3:0
25.09.24	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2
Club Friendly
17.01.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin	0:0
04.07.23	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1

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