Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Jagiellonia II Białystok		Wisła Płock II

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.7	1.88
	2.04	3.62	3.01	Watch
	2.05	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (3.15)	3.64 ↓ (3.88)	2.6 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia II Białystok
38.4%

Draw
25.6%

Wisła Płock II
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

23.4%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

23.1%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia II Białystok's performance.

Wisła Płock II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wisła Płock II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jagiellonia II Białystok that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock II than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wisła Płock II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wisła Płock II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Jagiellonia II is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wisła Płock II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wisła Płock II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Jagiellonia II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.09.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Znicz Biała Piska	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Legia II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:5 ✺
23.08.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL
- Wisła Płock II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.08.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wisła Płock II	3:2 ✺
27.08.25	Wisła Płock II - ŁKS Łomża	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Mławianka Mława - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Broń Radom - Wisła Płock II	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Wisła Płock II - Znicz Biała Piska	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.03.25	Wisła Płock II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1
10.08.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wisła Płock II	2:3

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