Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 33

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday


	Jagiellonia II Białystok		Stomil Olsztyn

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.6
	2.15	3.75	2.7
	2.18	3.85	2.7
	2.19	3.62	2.73	Watch
	2.15	3.75	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.18)	3.71 ↑ (3.65)	2.69 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia II Białystok
41.9%

Draw
24.4%

Stomil Olsztyn
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

24.7%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

23.7%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Stomil Olsztyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (-1%)

Jagiellonia II Białystok - Stomil Olsztyn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Karpinski J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Jagiellonia II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Jagiellonia II Białystok - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.32%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.05.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:3 ✺
21.05.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legia II	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wigry Suwałki	1:0 ✺
02.05.25	Mławianka Mława - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWWW
- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.05.25	Wigry Suwałki - Stomil Olsztyn	1:2 ✺
24.05.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Victoria Sulejówek	2:1 ✺
20.05.25	Wisła Płock II - Stomil Olsztyn	0:1 ✺
16.05.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Pelikan Łowicz - Stomil Olsztyn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.11.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:0
01.02.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1

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