Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 30

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion OSiR (Olsztyn)


	Stomil Olsztyn		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.03	3.65	3
	2.24	3.5	2.91
	2.03	3.92	2.94	Watch
	2.23	3.63	2.9	Watch
	2.03	3.65	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.12)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	2.95 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stomil Olsztyn
43.6%

Draw
25.1%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

24.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stomil Olsztyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Stomil Olsztyn aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Stomil Olsztyn - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Yampol A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Klugier P. ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, Yampol A. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Stomil is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Świt has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stomil will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stomil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.05.25	Pelikan Łowicz - Stomil Olsztyn	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	GKS Bełchatów - Stomil Olsztyn	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Legia II - Stomil Olsztyn	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTTTW
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.05.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Legia II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.10.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Stomil Olsztyn	0:1

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