Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 34

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Jagiellonia II Białystok		Wasilków

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	5.5
	1.39	4.93	5.52
	1.4	4.95	5.73	Watch
	1.36	4.4	5.75
	1.35	4.95	6.32	Watch
	1.58	3.8	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.35)	4.63 ↓ (4.75)	5.54 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia II Białystok
64.1%

Draw
19.6%

Wasilków
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

18.6%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

17.8%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Wasilków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wasilków than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wasilków Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (2.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Drygiel P. ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, Niedzwiecki K. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Wasilków is Relegated to

Jagiellonia II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wasilków has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Wasilków has had a series of home games.

In this match, Jagiellonia II is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Including home match between the teams, Jagiellonia II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Jagiellonia II	10	4	3	3	22:20	2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.05.26	GKS Bełchatów - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Troszyn	0:1 ✺
13.05.26	Mławianka Mława - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - ŁKS Łomża	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWLT
- KS Wasilków
Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.05.26	Wasilków - Broń Radom	1:4 ✺
16.05.26	Wasilków - Wigry Suwałki	0:3 ✺
13.05.26	Wasilków - Znicz Biała Piska	3:3 ✺
09.05.26	Wasilków - Warta Sieradz	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wasilków	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.11.25	Wasilków - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1
20.03.21	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wasilków	5:0

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