Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 32

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Jagiellonia II Białystok		Troszyn

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.5	2.15
	3.18	3.64	1.98	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.15
	2.27	3.41	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.3)	3.46 ↑ (3.41)	2.2 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia II Białystok
33.2%

Draw
26%

Troszyn
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26.4%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jagiellonia II Białystok's form might have worsened.

Troszyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Troszyn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jagiellonia II Białystok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troszyn than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Troszyn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jagiellonia II Białystok - Troszyn Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Jagiellonia II will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Troszyn will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Troszyn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jagiellonia II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Jagiellonia II	10	4	3	3	22:20	2	15
17	Troszyn	10	1	4	5	12:24	-12	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Mławianka Mława - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - ŁKS Łomża	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Widzew Łódź II	1:4 ✺
19.04.26	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLTLW
- KS CK Troszyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Troszyn - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	4:1 ✺
08.05.26	Broń Radom - Troszyn	1:1 ✺
30.04.26	Troszyn - Znicz Biała Piska	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Legia II - Troszyn	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Troszyn - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
31.10.25	Troszyn - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1

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