Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 32

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Wasilków		Wigry Suwałki

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.15	1.52
	4.43	4.05	1.59
	4.83	3.83	1.6	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.57
	4.86	4.15	1.53	Watch
	5.6	4.75	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↓ (5.6)	4.11 ↓ (4.75)	1.53 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wasilków
18.7%

Draw
22%

Wigry Suwałki
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

18.6%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

18.4%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wasilków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Wigry Suwałki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigry Suwałki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wasilków than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigry Suwałki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wasilków - Wigry Suwałki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
33', 0 - 1, Baranowicz B. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Guzdek B. ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, Ozga M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Wasilków is Relegated to

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Wasilków may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wigry is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wasilków won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwalki	11	6	4	1	19:10	9	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Wasilków
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Wasilków - Znicz Biała Piska	3:3 ✺
09.05.26	Wasilków - Warta Sieradz	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wasilków	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Wasilków - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Widzew Łódź II - Wasilków	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 TLWWW
- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wigry Suwałki	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Wigry Suwałki - Mławianka Mława	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Wigry Suwałki - GKS Bełchatów	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Legia II - Wigry Suwałki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.10.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wasilków	4:1

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