Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 4

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Jaraguay (Monteria)


	Jaguares de Córdoba		Independiente Valle del Cauca

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	5.75	Watch
	1.58	3.8	5.3	Watch
	1.6	3.86	5.68
	1.14	7.20	17.49	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.55	3.62	5.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.6)	4.28 ↑ (3.53)	7.47 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Córdoba
64.4%

Draw
22.7%

Independiente Valle del Cauca
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

25.6%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

22%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaguares de Córdoba's performance.

Independiente Valle del Cauca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaguares de Córdoba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Valle del Cauca than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Valle del Cauca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Valle del Cauca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jaguares de Córdoba will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ind Valle del Cauca will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Lopez D. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Lopez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 3 - 0, Mejia J. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Jaguares de Córdoba has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Independiente Yumbo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Jaguares de Córdoba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jaguares de Córdoba is the obvious favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Copa
10.05.26	Rionegro Águilas - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
07.05.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Real Cundinamarca	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.05.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
17.04.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Pasto	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TLWTL
- Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombian Copa
17.05.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Rionegro Águilas	1:4 ✺
13.05.26	Real Cundinamarca - Independiente Valle del Cauca	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Deportivo Pereira	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.04.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTTT

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