Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 3

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda (Yumbo (COL))


	Independiente Valle del Cauca		Rionegro Águilas

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.25	Watch
	3.25	3	2.2	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2.24
	3.83	2.67	2.30	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.2
	3.58	2.89	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.26)	2.94 ↓ (3.08)	2.22 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Valle del Cauca
26.8%

Draw
31.5%

Rionegro Águilas
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.6%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

28.9%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Valle del Cauca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Valle del Cauca than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Independiente Valle del Cauca - Rionegro Águilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ind Valle del Cauca will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Mena H. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Varela J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', 1 - 2, Rivaldo J. ⚽,
54', 1 - 3, Rivaldo J. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 4, Arias K. ⚽,

Preview

Independiente Yumbo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rionegro Águilas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombian Copa
13.05.26	Real Cundinamarca - Independiente Valle del Cauca	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Deportivo Pereira	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.04.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:0 ✺
30.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Unión Magdalena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTTL
- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Copa
10.05.26	Rionegro Águilas - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Rionegro Águilas - Once Caldas	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Rionegro Águilas - Junior Barranquilla	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWTLL

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