Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna (Tuxtla Gutiérrez)


	Jaguares de Chiapas		Zapotlanejo

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.7	6.6
	1.38	4.68	6.59	Watch
	1.37	4.15	7.8	Watch
	1.36	4.7	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.47)	4.56 ↑ (3.86)	6.9 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Chiapas
66.7%

Draw
20%

Zapotlanejo
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.5%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

22.5%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Chiapas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Zapotlanejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Chiapas than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zapotlanejo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Jaguares de Chiapas - Zapotlanejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Ramirez F. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Calderon K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,
53', 3 - 1, Orrantia E. ⚽,
78', 4 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Recent matches Chiapas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Acatlán is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Chiapas is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chiapas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Chiapas
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
16.03.25	Montañeses - Jaguares de Chiapas	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Deportiva Venados	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Deportivo Zitácuaro	5:1 ✺
22.02.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Jaguares de Chiapas	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Tapachula Soconusco	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWWL
- ACF Zapotlanejo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
16.03.25	Zapotlanejo - Deportivo Zitácuaro	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Zapotlanejo	3:1 ✺
21.02.25	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Zapotlanejo	4:3 penalties ✺
16.02.25	Zapotlanejo - Faraones de Texcoco	1:3 ✺
08.02.25	Racing de Veracruz - Zapotlanejo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
10.11.24	Zapotlanejo - Jaguares de Chiapas	4:1

Jaguares de Chiapas - Zapotlanejo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide