Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 23

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna (Tuxtla Gutiérrez)


	Jaguares de Chiapas		Tapachula Soconusco

	1	X	2
	1.69	3.71	3.4
	1.66	3.56	4.95	Watch
	1.75	3.5	3.75
	1.62	3.45	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.1)	3.56 ↓ (3.62)	4.3 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Chiapas
53.7%

Draw
25.4%

Tapachula Soconusco
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

25.1%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

24.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Chiapas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaguares de Chiapas's performance.

Tapachula Soconusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tapachula Soconusco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Chiapas than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaguares de Chiapas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapachula Soconusco than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tapachula Soconusco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jaguares de Chiapas - Tapachula Soconusco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', (Penalty Awarded),
76', 1 - 2, ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chiapas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chiapas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chiapas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Chiapas
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.03.26	Deportiva Venados - Jaguares de Chiapas	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	Jaguares de Chiapas - Neza	6:1 ✺
21.02.26	Dragones Toluca - Jaguares de Chiapas	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Jaguares de Chiapas - Cañoneros Marina	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Jaguares de Chiapas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWL
- Tapachula Soconusco
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.03.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Montañeses	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Tapachula Soconusco	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Héroes de Zaci	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Celaya - Tapachula Soconusco	3:2 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.02.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Tapachula Soconusco	2:3
30.11.24	Jaguares de Chiapas - Tapachula Soconusco	1:1

Upcoming Matches