Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 9

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna (Tuxtla Gutiérrez)


	Jaguares de Chiapas		Deportiva Venados

	1	X	2
	2.38	4.09	2.48
	1.86	3.66	3.54	Watch
	2.09	3.64	2.9
	1.95	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.85)	3.72 ↑ (3.63)	3.06 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Chiapas
44.8%

Draw
24.9%

Deportiva Venados
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.1%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

25.2%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Chiapas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Deportiva Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Chiapas than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportiva Venados than the current prediction. (-5%)

Jaguares de Chiapas - Deportiva Venados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 🟥,
45+2', (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 🟥,
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Chiapas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Deportiva Venados is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chiapas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chiapas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Chiapas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Chiapas
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
12.10.25	Neza - Jaguares de Chiapas	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Dragones Toluca	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Cañoneros Marina - Jaguares de Chiapas	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Pioneros de Cancún	4:2 ✺
07.09.25	Montañeses - Jaguares de Chiapas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWWL
- Deportiva Venados
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.10.25	Deportiva Venados - Montañeses	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Deportiva Venados	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Deportiva Venados - Héroes de Zaci	3:2 penalties ✺
20.09.25	Celaya - Deportiva Venados	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Deportiva Venados - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.03.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Deportiva Venados	0:0
26.10.24	Deportiva Venados - Jaguares de Chiapas	1:0

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