Match Info

GERMANY: DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Jahnstadion Regensburg (Regensburg)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport 9, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Switzerland	Sky Sport Top Event
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 10
World	Disney+


	Jahn Regensburg		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.7	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.15
	3.25	3.75	2.15	Watch
	3.27	3.75	2.17
	3.23	3.73	2.12	Watch
	3	3.6	2.05
	3.2	3.72	2.12	Watch
	3.25	3.75	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.95)	3.7 ↑ (3.59)	2.13 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
29.7%

Draw
25.7%

Greuther Fürth
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26.5%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

27.3%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Greuther Fürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	27.3%	72.7%

Jahn Regensburg - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fürth: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gebhardt F. (G) 37. Wurm L. 3. Hein B. 16. Breunig L. 10. Viet C. 33. Proger K. 15. Ernst S. 8. Geipl A. (C) 5. Bulic R. 9. Hottmann E. 30. Kuhlwetter C.	44. Noll N. (G) 18. Meyerhofer M. 4. Michalski D. 27. Itter G. 17. Giesselmann N. 2. Asta S. 6. Banse S. 37. Green J. 11. Massimo R. 10. Hrgota B. 7. Srbeny D.
Substitutes
25. Bauer J. 13. Bittroff A. 39. Galjen D. 20. Ganaus N. 29. Huth E. 27. Kother D. 11. Ochojski N. 32. Weidinger A. (G) 14. Ziegele R.	1. Korber N. (G) 3. Mhamdi O. 22. Motika N. 36. Muller P. 5. Munz R. 8. Mustapha S. 34. Pfaffenrot D. 20. Popp L. 19. Wagner M.
Coaches
Patz A.	Haas L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Ernst S. 🟨,
14', Michalski D. 🟨,
25', Hein B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Bulic R. ⚽,
63', Bulic R. 🟥,
65', Giesselmann N. ↓, Mustapha S. ↑,
69', Ernst S. ↓, Ziegele R. ↑,
70', Proger K. 🟨,
70', Massimo R. 🟨,
73', Massimo R. ↓, Motika N. ↑,
75', Hottmann E. ↓, Ganaus N. ↑,
80', Meyerhofer M. 🟨,
80', Meyerhofer M. ↓, Wagner M. ↑,
90+3', Kuhlwetter C. ↓, Bittroff A. ↑,
90+4', Gebhardt F. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 0.

Regensburg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fürth is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fürth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fürth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14:25 (average 1.1:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Regensburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:14 (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.24	Nürnberg - Jahn Regensburg	8:3 ✺
19.10.24	Jahn Regensburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Augsburg - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.24	Paderborn - Jahn Regensburg	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Jahn Regensburg - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth	3:4 ✺
20.10.24	Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg	0:4 ✺
06.10.24	Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth	2:2 ✺
27.09.24	Greuther Fürth - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Greuther Fürth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
30.08.24	Jahn Regensburg - Greuther Fürth	0:4
14.04.23	Greuther Fürth - Jahn Regensburg	2:1
07.10.22	Jahn Regensburg - Greuther Fürth	2:2
17.03.21	Jahn Regensburg - Greuther Fürth	1:2
22.11.20	Greuther Fürth - Jahn Regensburg	3:1
31.01.20	Jahn Regensburg - Greuther Fürth	0:2
18.08.19	Greuther Fürth - Jahn Regensburg	1:0

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