The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jaiba Brava 42.3%
Draw 30.3%
Tepatitlán de Morelos 27.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
31.2%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
32.6%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Jaiba Brava - Tepatitlán de Morelos Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Jaiba Brava will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ruiz G. (G) 14. Corona N. 16. Dominguez R. 23. Escoboza A. 28. Flores S. (C) 2. Gonzalez C. 21. Peralta J. 18. Portales J. 5. Razo L. 4. Rios A. 8. Torres E.
1. Gutierrez G. (C) 22. Aguilar D. 26. Dominguez I. 10. Guzman W. 19. Islas O. 29. Mendoza B. 21. Moreno Villegas J. A. 2. Pinela M. 11. Reyes J. 6. Ruiz A. 23. Venegas J.
Substitutes
22. Clemente J. 6. Garcia E. 1. Garcia J. (G) 24. Lopez Gonzalez J. A. 7. Magana D. 19. Martinez F. 9. Martinez J. 31. Rodriguez M. 20. Saldivar J. 10. Soto O.
7. Escoto A. 18. Gomez J. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 13. Gonzalez Calderon L. A. 5. Gonzalez K. 140. Iniguez O. 159. Macias L. 20. Samano L. 8. Samano Salgado F. 30. Talavera J.
Coaches
Ruiz M.
Pereyra G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Torres E. ⚽, Peralta J. (A),
21', Aguilar D. 🟨,
45+1', Escoboza A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Moreno Villegas J. A. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Razo L. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Corona N. ↓, Magana D. ↑,
70', Pinela M. 🟨,
72', Mendoza B. ↓, Escoto A. ↑,
73', Razo L. ↓, Clemente J. ↑,
73', Gonzalez C. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
74', Rios A. 🟨,
82', Pinela M. 🟨,
84', Islas O. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
84', Reyes J. ↓, Samano L. ↑,
90+3', Peralta J. ↓, Saldivar J. ↑,
Extra Time (2 - 2)
92', 2 - 1, Escoto A. ⚽, Gomez J. (A),
97', Aguilar D. ↓, Gonzalez Calderon L. A. ↑,
97', Guzman W. ↓, Samano Salgado F. ↑,
105+1', Portales J. ↓, Lopez Gonzalez J. A. ↑,
105+1', Dominguez R. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
105+3', Gomez J. 🟨,
107', 3 - 1, Gonzalez Calderon L. A. (Own goal),
113', Dominguez I. 🟨,
115', 4 - 1, Rios A. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
117', 4 - 2, Gonzalez K. ⚽, Escoto A. (A),
120+1', Razo L. 🟥,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Torres E. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Dominguez I. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Magana D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Gonzalez K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Escoboza A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Gomez J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Rodriguez M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Venegas J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Clemente J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 1-3.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 1.
Jaiba Brava has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tepatitlán is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Jaiba Brava might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 0.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Jaiba Brava won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.1:0.4).