The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tepatitlán de Morelos 19.7%
Draw 20.1%
Jaiba Brava 60.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.2%
26.5%
49.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.8%
23.9%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaiba Brava's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tepatitlán de Morelos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaiba Brava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Jaiba Brava Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Tepatitlán will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Jaiba Brava will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Gatica A. (G) 36. Sanchez J. 6. Baez G. (C) 38. Cardenas A. 22. Sanguinetti F. 11. Olvera G. 5. Villalpando D. 25. Moreno A. 37. Egurrola L. 39. Cruz J. 23. Godinez J.
13. Ruiz G. (C) 22. Arriaga N. 16. Martinez J. 17. Ramirez I. 25. Padilla A. 7. Magana D. 5. Ochoa I. 33. Martinez S. 8. Gonzalez R. 10. Torres E. 19. Lopez D.
Substitutes
33. Alcantar E. 31. Casas B. 3. Contreras I. 28. Lopez M. 13. Martinez N. 44. Modica F. 35. Rodriguez D. (G) 40. Tamay A. 24. Valencia V. 8. Vazquez L.
153. Barrios J. 27. Escalante E. 1. Garcia J. (G) 15. Ham Puertos A. M. 21. Lopez F. 177. Mendez O. 3. Pena R. 18. Serna A. 20. Tovar J.
Coaches
Olvera G.
Ruiz M. A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Sanchez J. 🟨,
8', Gonzalez R. 🟥,
30', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Tamay A. ↑,
41', Magana D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Egurrola L. ⚽, Cruz J. (A),
55', Ramirez I. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Ochoa I. (Own goal),
57', Martinez S. ↓, Tovar J. ↑,
57', Martinez J. ↓, Mendez O. ↑,
57', Lopez D. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
58', Godinez J. ↓, Casas B. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Sanchez J. ⚽,
61', Olvera G. 🟥,
72', Baez G. 🟨,
77', 3 - 1, Ochoa I. ⚽, Magana D. (A),
78', Sanchez J. ↓, Contreras I. ↑,
78', Egurrola L. ↓, Martinez N. ↑,
78', Cruz J. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 16th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 3.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Tepatitlán could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Jaiba Brava is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Tepatitlán has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:16 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tepatitlán against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:4 goals (averaging 1.3:0.5 per game).
Mexico
Usa
Watch
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Gatica A. (G) 
Sanguinetti F. 
Modica F. 
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