The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tepatitlán de Morelos 23.1%
Draw 23%
Mineros de Zacatecas 53.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
25.1%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
25%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tepatitlán de Morelos's form might have worsened.
Mineros de Zacatecas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mineros de Zacatecas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tepatitlán de Morelos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mineros de Zacatecas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
10%
80%
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Mineros de Zacatecas Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Tepatitlán will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Mineros de Zacatecas will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mineros de Zacatecas: 55.2% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Gatica A. (G) 24. Valencia V. 36. Sanchez J. 38. Cardenas A. 14. Rios Orbe J. L. 9. Paez L. (C) 22. Sanguinetti F. 18. Martinez E. 37. Egurrola L. 40. Tamay A. 39. Cruz J.
1. Duran L. (G) 2. Cervantes L. 20. Castro Garcia W. D. 5. Cano J. 3. Manriquez S. 19. Magana K. 96. Flores Sanchez C. A. 4. Marmolejo D. 10. Avila J. (C) 11. Sandoval L. 9. Machado J.
Substitutes
33. Alcantar E. 32. Arevalo T. 27. Avila H. 6. Baez G. 31. Casas B. 3. Contreras I. 28. Lopez M. 13. Martinez N. 25. Moreno A. 35. Rodriguez D. (G)
110. Cordero M. 16. Esquivel J. 23. Garcia A. 30. Jimenez J. 14. Mazatan O. 24. Padilla P. 6. Rios P. 86. Rios R. 22. Valenzuela J. (G)
Coaches
Olvera G.
Munoz L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rios Orbe J. L. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
46', Egurrola L. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
58', Cano J. ↓, Mazatan O. ↑,
58', Castro Garcia W. D. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
58', Machado J. ↓, Padilla P. ↑,
59', Mazatan O. 🟨,
61', Valencia V. ↓, Baez G. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Avila J. ⚽,
71', Tamay A. ↓, Avila H. ↑,
71', Martinez E. ↓, Arevalo T. ↑,
71', Marmolejo D. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
78', Avila J. ↓, Cordero M. ↑,
80', Cardenas A. 🟨,
84', Arevalo T. 🟨,
90+6', Cordero M. 🟥,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Tepatitlán (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Mineros de Zacatecas has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tepatitlán could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Mineros de Zacatecas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Tepatitlán has recorded 4 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:30 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tepatitlán against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:11 goals (averaging 1.8:1.2 per game).
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Gatica A. (G) 
Paez L. (C) 
Sanguinetti F. 
Cano J. 
Arevalo T. 
Avila H. 
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