Match Info

First League - Round 11

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday


	Jaiyq		Akademiya Ontustik

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.55	1.88
	3.15	3.65	1.80
	3.48	3.96	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.52)	3.72 ↓ (3.86)	1.83 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaiyq
26.9%

Draw
24.1%

Akademiya Ontustik
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

23.5%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

22.7%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaiyq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Akademiya Ontustik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiyq than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akademiya Ontustik than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 1, Alkaydarov S. ⚽, Ali A. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Akademiya Ontustik could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Akademiya Ontustik	24	13	4	7	36:29	7	43
6	Jaiyq	23	9	4	10	21:26	-5	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Jaiyq
Kazakh First League
19.06.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Jaiyq	3:0 ✺
11.06.26	Yelimay 2 - Jaiyq	0:1 ✺
27.05.26	Jaiyq - Aktobe 2	3:2 ✺
22.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Jaiyq	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Jaiyq - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWL
- Akademiya Ontustik
Kazakh First League
18.06.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Yelimay 2	1:1 ✺
11.06.26	Aktobe 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	1:4 ✺
26.05.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Kaspiy Aktau 2	1:0 ✺
21.05.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Akademiya Ontustik	2:2 ✺
15.05.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Kairat 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWTL

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