Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 29

Date: 11 May 2023, Thursday

Location: DS Arena (Hobro)

Referee: Baek J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hobro		Fremad Amager

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	4.2
	1.82	3.5	3.9
	1.79	3.65	4.1
	1.84	3.74	4.23
				Watch
	1.85	3.78	3.96	Watch
	1.77	3.5	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.98)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	4.06 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hobro
51.4%

Draw
25.6%

Fremad Amager
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hobro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Fremad Amager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fremad Amager than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	0%	19%

Hobro - Fremad Amager Predictions

Users Predictions: Hobro will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hobro won 1.

Recent matches Hobro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amager is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Amager have a series of home games.

In this match Hobro is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Hobro won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Hobro won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hobro IK
Danish 1 Division
05.05.23	Fredericia - Hobro	2:2 ✺
28.04.23	Hobro - Nykøbing	3:1 ✺
23.04.23	Hobro - Fredericia	0:1 ✺
16.04.23	Fremad Amager - Hobro	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Hobro - Hillerød	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLTW
- Fremad Amager
Danish 1 Division
05.05.23	Fremad Amager - Hillerød	1:0 ✺
28.04.23	Fremad Amager - HB Køge	0:1 ✺
21.04.23	Nykøbing - Fremad Amager	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Fremad Amager - Hobro	1:1 ✺
09.04.23	Fremad Amager - Fredericia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
16.04.23	Fremad Amager - Hobro	1:1
24.02.23	Fremad Amager - Hobro	2:1
29.09.22	Hobro - Fremad Amager	1:0
07.05.22	Hobro - Fremad Amager	1:1
21.04.22	Fremad Amager - Hobro	0:0
18.03.22	Fremad Amager - Hobro	1:1
01.10.21	Hobro - Fremad Amager	5:0

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