Match Info

Asian Games - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Toyota City)


	Japan U23		North Korea U23

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.5	12
	1.17	6.50	11.00
	1.22	5.50	9.00
	1.24	6.02	10.52
	1.2	6.5	11.5	Watch
	1.2	5.9	10
	1.22	5.84	12.7
	1.16	6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.42)	5.97 ↑ (4.15)	10.97 ↑ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan U23
76.3%

Draw
15.4%

North Korea U23
8.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.6%

21.7%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Japan U23's performance.

North Korea U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Korea U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Japan U23 - North Korea U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Japan U23 will win (votes: 2 - 50%). North Korea U23 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. North Korea U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Araki R. (G) Gamba Osaka 16. Fukunaga Y. Kyoto Sangyo 5. Ichihara R. (C) AZ Alkmaar 17. Nakajima Y. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 19. Nwadik B. Aalborg 22. Okabe H. Toyo University 14. Ozeki Y. Kawasaki Frontale 21. Sato M. Albirex Niigata 18. Shimamoto Y. Shimizu S-Pulse 2. Umeki R. Imabari 11. Yokoyama Y. Cerezo Osaka	1. Kang Ju-Hyok (C) Hwaebul 17. Choe Kuk 12. Choe Ryong-Il 6. Han Jae-yong 5. Jong Hwi-Nam 22. Kim Kuk-Bom Ryomyong 16. Kim Yu-Song 14. Kwang-Myong R. 20. Paek Chung-Song Ryomyong 15. Ra M. 11. Yom Chol-gyong
Substitutes
13. Furuya S. Tokyo International University 20. Ishibashi S. Shonan Bellmare 10. Ishii H. Shonan Bellmare 7. Ishiwatari N. St. Truiden 12. Kobayashi M. (G) Matsumoto Yamaga 3. Kosugi K. Eintracht Frankfurt 9. Michiwaki Y. Iwaki 15. Mori S. Okayama 6. Nagano S. FC Tokyo 1. Pisano A. (G) Nagoya Grampus 4. Tsuchiya K. Fukushima United 8. Yasuda K. V-Varen Nagasaki	23. An Kyong-ung 9. Ho Chol-myong 19. Hong Kwon-hwi 21. Hong Tae-han (G) 2. Jong Ye-won 3. Kim K. 18. Kim Ryong-ik (G) 8. Pak Hyok-song 10. Ri Il-song Ryomyong 7. Ri Kum-Chol 4. Ri Song-hung

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Umeki R. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Nwadik B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Yom Chol-gyong ↓, Ri Il-song ↑,
59', Nakajima Y. ↓, Ishiwatari N. ↑,
59', Fukunaga Y. ↓, Ishibashi S. ↑,
61', Ri Il-song 🟨,
79', Ri Il-song ↓, An Kyong-ung ↑,
82', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
82', Nwadik B. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
87', Kim Yu-Song 🟨,
89', Choe Ryong-Il 🟨,
89', Kim Kuk-Bom ↓, Kim K. ↑,
89', Ozeki Y. ↓, Nagano S. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Japan U23 enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Japan U23 has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 2:0.7 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan U23
Asian Games Football
23.09.26	Japan U23 - Thailand U23	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Kyrgyzstan U23 - Japan U23	0:7 ✺
16.09.26	Japan U23 - Hong Kong U23	2:0 ✺
AFC Asian Cup U23
24.01.26	China U23 - Japan U23	0:4 ✺
20.01.26	Japan U23 - South Korea U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW
- North Korea U23
Asian Games Football
23.09.26	Iran U23 - North Korea U23	1:4 ✺
20.09.26	North Korea U23 - United Arab Emirates U23	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	China U23 - North Korea U23	2:1 ✺
Friendly
31.03.26	North Korea U23 - Thailand U23	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	China U23 - North Korea U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Asian Games Football
01.10.23	Japan U23 - North Korea U23	2:1
AFC Asian Cup U23
16.01.18	Japan U23 - North Korea U23	3:1
13.01.16	Japan U23 - North Korea U23	1:0

Japan U23 - North Korea U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide