Match Info

ASIA: AFC Asian Cup U23 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:30	SportKlub
Croatia	17:30	SportKlub
Malaysia	23:30	Astro
Serbia	17:30	SportKlub
Slovenia	17:30	SportKlub


	Japan U23		Uzbekistan U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.87	2.85
	2.45	2.9	2.9
	2.6	3	2.92
	2.51	2.76	3.22
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.59	3.01	2.76	Watch
	2.42	2.8	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.44)	2.91 ↓ (2.96)	2.95 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan U23
37.3%

Draw
31.6%

Uzbekistan U23
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

30.5%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

31.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Uzbekistan U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Japan U23 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uzbekistan U23 than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	71.4%	0%

Japan U23 - Uzbekistan U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Japan U23 will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kokubo L. (G) Benfica 4. Hiroki S. Kashiwa Reysol 22. Takai K. Kawasaki Frontale 5. Kimura S. Sagan Tosu 21. Ohata A. Urawa Reds 7. Yamamoto R. St. Truiden 8. Fujita J. St. Truiden 9. Fujio S. Machida Zelvia 17. Matsuki K. FC Tokyo 10. Sato K. Werder Bremen 19. Hosoya M. Kashiwa Reysol	1. Nematov A. (G) Nasaf Qarshi 2. Mirsaidov S. Olympic 5. Khamraliev M. Pakhtakor 18. Davronov A. Nasaf Qarshi 6. Yuldoshev I. Kairat Almaty 23. Buriev A. Pakhtakor 17. Kholmatov D. Pakhtakor 20. Jiyanov R. Navbahor Namangan 10. Jaloliddinov J. Neftchi Fargona 22. Odilov A. Olympic 19. Norchaev K. Neftchi Fargona
Substitutes
13. Araki R. FC Tokyo 2. Handa R. Gamba Osaka 20. Hirakawa Y. Machida Zelvia 6. Kawasaki S. Kyoto 3. Nishio R. Cerezo Osaka 12. Nozawa T. (G) FC Tokyo 15. Suzuki K. Iwata 14. Tanaka S. Shonan Bellmare 18. Uchino K. 16. Uchino T. Dusseldorf 11. Yamada F. Verdy 23. Yamada T. (G) Kashima Antlers	21. Abdunabiev K. (G) Olympic 3. Abdurahmatov Z. Nasaf Qarshi 8. Ibrokhimov I. Olympic 11. Jurakuziev O. Olympic 9. Khoshimov U. Termez Surkhon 13. Makhamadzhonov M. Bunyodkor 12. Nazarov V. (G) Pakhtakor 16. Rakhimzhonov A. Olympic 15. Rakhmonaliyev U. Rubin Kazan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Fujio S. 🟨,
16', Hosoya M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Fujio S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
62', Matsuki K. ↓, Araki R. ↑,
71', Sato K. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
72', Yamamoto R. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
75', Mirsaidov S. ↓, Abdurahmatov Z. ↑,
75', Jiyanov R. ↓, Khoshimov U. ↑,
75', Kimura S. 🟨,
79', Nematov A. 🟨,
85', Jaloliddinov J. ↓, Ibrokhimov I. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Yamada F. ⚽, Araki R. (A),
90+3', Kholmatov D. ↓, Rakhmonaliyev U. ↑,
90+3', Norchaev K. ↓, Jurakuziev O. ↑,
90+4', Ohata A. ↓, Uchino T. ↑,
90+10', Rakhmonaliyev U. (Pen),
90+13', Abdurahmatov Z. 🟨,

Preview

Japan U23 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Uzbekistan U23 in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Japan U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Japan U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan U23
AFC Asian Cup U23
29.04.24	Japan U23 - Iraq U23	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Qatar U23 - Japan U23	2:4 ET ✺
22.04.24	Japan U23 - South Korea U23	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	United Arab Emirates U23 - Japan U23	0:2 ✺
16.04.24	Japan U23 - China U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW
- Uzbekistan U23
AFC Asian Cup U23
29.04.24	Indonesia U23 - Uzbekistan U23	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Uzbekistan U23 - Saudi Arabia U23	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Uzbekistan U23 - Vietnam U23	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Kuwait U23 - Uzbekistan U23	0:5 ✺
17.04.24	Uzbekistan U23 - Malaysia U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Asian Cup U23
15.06.22	Uzbekistan U23 - Japan U23	2:0
19.01.18	Japan U23 - Uzbekistan U23	0:4

Japan U23 - Uzbekistan U23