Match Info

Friendly International Women

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Ciudad de La Linea (Cadiz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	AbemaTV
Norway	NRK 2, NRK Sport, NRK TV


	Norway W		Japan W

	1	X	2
	4.41	4.01	1.67	Watch
	4.07	3.58	1.8	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (2.85)	3.6 ↑ (3.2)	1.92 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norway W
24.9%

Draw
26.1%

Japan W
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

28.4%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norway W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Norway W's form might have worsened.

Japan W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Japan W's recent form is better than expected.

Norway W - Japan W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fiskerstrand C. (G) Fiorentina 13. Bjelde T. Wolfsburg 16. Harviken M. Juventus 7. Engen I. Lyon 2. Lund M. SL Benfica 18. Leonhardsen-Maanum F. Arsenal 21. Naalsund L. Manchester United 15. Kielland J. Wolfsburg 11. Reiten G. Chelsea 22. Gaupset S. Brann 14. Hegerberg A. (C) Lyon	1. Yamashita A. (G) Manchester City 2. Shimizu R. Liverpool 6. Koga T. Tottenham 5. Takahashi H. Urawa 21. Moriya M. Angel City 7. Miyazawa H. Manchester United 14. Hasegawa Y. Manchester City 17. Hamano M. Chelsea 11. Tanaka M. Utah Royals 15. Fujino A. Manchester City 8. Seike K. Brighton
Substitutes
5. Bergsvand G. Wolfsburg 4. Blakstad J. Hammarby 17. Godo E. Juventus 20. Jensen S. Atl. Madrid 6. Norheim A. RB Leipzig 12. Panengstuen S. (G) Brann 9. Saevik K. Valerenga 23. Skoglund S. (G) Stabaek 24. Tandberg C. Tottenham 19. Terland E. Manchester United 3. Woldvik E. Fiorentina	18. Endo J. Angel City 12. Hirao C. (G) Granada CF 22. Koyama S. North Carolina Courage 4. Kumagai S. London City Lionesses 3. Minami M. Brighton 16. Momiki Y. Everton 10. Nagano F. Liverpool 23. Okuma A. (G) 13. Shiragaki U. C-Osaka 19. Tanikawa M. Bayern Munich 9. Ueki R. West Ham
Coaches
Grainger G.	Nielsen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Gaupset S. ⚽, Reiten G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Seike K. ↓, Nagano F. ↑,
46', Koga T. ↓, Minami M. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Gaupset S. ⚽, Kielland J. (A),
65', Tanaka M. ↓, Tanikawa M. ↑,
65', Moriya M. ↓, Endo J. ↑,
67', Hegerberg A. ↓, Terland E. ↑,
67', Harviken M. ↓, Bergsvand G. ↑,
77', Gaupset S. ↓, Saevik K. ↑,
82', Shimizu R. ↓, Shiragaki U. ↑,
82', Miyazawa H. ↓, Momiki Y. ↑,
87', Bjelde T. ↓, Woldvik E. ↑,

Preview

Japan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Norway won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norway W
UEFA Euro Women
16.07.25	Norway W - Italy W	1:2 ✺
10.07.25	Norway W - Iceland W	4:3 ✺
06.07.25	Norway W - Finland W	2:1 ✺
02.07.25	Switzerland W - Norway W	1:2 ✺
Friendly International Women
26.06.25	Norway W - Sweden W	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL
- Japan W
Friendly International Women
24.10.25	Italy W - Japan W	1:1 ✺
EAFF E-1 Women
16.07.25	Japan W - China W	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Japan W - South Korea W	1:1 ✺
09.07.25	Japan W - Chinese Taipei W	4:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
27.06.25	Spain W - Japan W	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup Women
05.08.23	Japan W - Norway W	3:1
Friendly International Women
11.11.18	Japan W - Norway W	4:1
Algarve Cup Women
06.03.17	Norway W - Japan W	0:2

Norway W - Japan W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide