Match Info
Catarinense 2 - Round 15Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday
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 |
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 |
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Jaraguá do Sul |
|
Nação |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.75 |
5.00 |
1.38 |
|
 |
4.4 |
3.85 |
1.55 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.58 ↑ (4.4) |
4.43 ↑ (3.85) |
1.47 ↓ (1.55) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
- The best margin for this event is 13.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jaraguá do Sul 19.4% | Draw 20% | Nação 60.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaraguá do Sul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Nação has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraguá do Sul than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nação than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nação, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors. 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 75', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Catarinense 3 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Catarinense 3). Jaraguá do Sul is Relegated to Catarinense 3Jaraguá do Sul has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).Nação has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Nação is a strong favorite. Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Nacao | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
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| 10 | Jaragua-SC | 18 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6:73 | -67 | 1 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;