Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Badajoz		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.15	3.9
	1.63	3.42	5.70	Watch
	1.81	3.22	4.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.98)	3.26 ↑ (3.1)	4.6 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
52%

Draw
28.1%

Villanovense
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badajoz's performance.

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villanovense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Badajoz - Villanovense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Domingo Domingo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Badajoz won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Badajoz has had a series of away games.

Badajoz could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Badajoz won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 0.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Badajoz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.11.25	Cabeza del Buey - Badajoz	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Badajoz - Llerenense	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Jerez - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Pueblonuevo - Badajoz	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Montijo - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTWW
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.11.25	Villanovense - Pueblonuevo	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Montijo - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Villanovense - Moralo	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Diocesano - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Villanovense - Villafranca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.03.24	Badajoz - Villanovense	0:0
05.11.23	Villanovense - Badajoz	1:2
Club Friendly
22.08.21	Villanovense - Badajoz	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.03.21	Villanovense - Badajoz	0:0
06.12.20	Badajoz - Villanovense	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.01.19	Badajoz - Villanovense	2:1
26.08.18	Villanovense - Badajoz	1:2

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