Match Info

FINLAND: Ykkonen

Date: 13 June 2024, Thursday

Location: Porin Stadion (Pori)


	Jazz Pori		Vaajakoski

	1	X	2
	1.14	7	12
	1.16	7	10.5
	1.16	7	12
	1.18	7.55	11.77
	1.18	7.55	11.77
	1.14	7	11
	1.15	7.6	13
	1.14	7.4	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.41)	7.26 ↑ (4.33)	11.76 ↑ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jazz Pori
79.5%

Draw
12.7%

Vaajakoski
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

20.9%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

19.8%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jazz Pori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jazz Pori's performance.

Vaajakoski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vaajakoski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jazz Pori than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jazz Pori that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vaajakoski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Jazz Pori - Vaajakoski Predictions

Users Predictions: Jazz Pori will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simula R. (G) 6. Campagna C. 9. Firmino L. 10. Lehto J. 2. Lemio J. 33. Nieminen E. 11. Rantanen J. 7. Riihimaki W. 99. Sasaki T. 18. Ushiyama T. 19. Visavuori J.	13. Toivari S. (G) 9. Hakkinen R. 5. Halonen H. 24. Liimatainen M. 14. Montonen B. 8. Niemela M. 2. Pirttinen N. 22. Ronka J. 20. Simsek B. 12. Sydanmaa M. 4. Voikar L. (C)
Substitutes
17. Etok M. 22. Lehto J. 28. Leivo-Jokimaki L. (G) 4. Luhtanen A. 8. Uusitalo E. 13. Vakiparta T.	10. Janhunen V. 17. Kovaqi G. 16. Salim S. 27. Suutarinen L. 25. Tuokkola V. (G) 19. Verkko M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Lehto J. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Simsek B. (Pen),
27', Pirttinen N. 🟨,
30', 1 - 2, Liimatainen M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Nieminen E. ↓, Uusitalo E. ↑,
46', Visavuori J. ↓, Etok M. ↑,
46', 2 - 2, Lehto J. ⚽,
46', Campagna C. 🟨,
54', Ronka J. ↓, Verkko M. ↑,
54', Hakkinen R. ↓, Kovaqi G. ↑,
64', Sydanmaa M. 🟨,
64', Pirttinen N. ↓, Janhunen V. ↑,
65', Montonen B. ↓, Suutarinen L. ↑,
70', Riihimaki W. ↓, Vakiparta T. ↑,
76', Simsek B. ↓, Salim S. ↑,
82', Kovaqi G. 🟨,
82', Ushiyama T. 🟨,
83', 3 - 2, Firmino L. ⚽,
84', Firmino L. ↓, Lehto J. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

Recent matches Jazz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vaajakoski has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Jazz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Jazz is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Jazz Pori
Finnish Ykkonen
08.06.24	KPV Kokkola - Jazz Pori	3:3 ✺
31.05.24	Jazz Pori - Atlantis Helsinki	1:3 ✺
26.05.24	JJK Jyväskylä - Jazz Pori	2:4 ✺
22.05.24	Jazz Pori - VIFK	2:1 ✺
18.05.24	Espoon Palloseura - Jazz Pori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWWL
- FC Vaajakoski
Finnish Ykkonen
05.06.24	Vaajakoski - JJK Jyväskylä	1:2 ✺
30.05.24	KuPS Akatemia - Vaajakoski	5:1 ✺
26.05.24	VIFK - Vaajakoski	2:2 ✺
22.05.24	Vaajakoski - Espoon Palloseura	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	RoPS - Vaajakoski	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL

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